Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
10
Down 89%
$249.58
$34.01
Smart Money Signal
8 of 10 top traders (80%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 69.6Β’ | $52.46 | $54 | +$1.54 | 51% 6701-6393 (13094) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 83.6Β’ | $83.6 | $100 | +$16.4 | 57% 69604-52928 (122532) |
TM tmsd-test<$100 | Downavg 68Β’ | $22.52 | $31 | +$8.48 | 54% 14340-12139 (26479) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 94Β’ | $13.52 | $14.38 | +$0.86 | 63% 51064-30076 (81140) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 71.6Β’ | $13.52 | $17 | +$3.48 | 65% 21441-11773 (33214) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 84Β’ | $16.8 | $20 | +$3.2 | 58% 60064-43843 (103907) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 84.3Β’ | $9.44 | $11.2 | +$1.76 | 52% 89215-83682 (172897) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 34Β’ | $2.71 | β | -$2.71 | 64% 39676-22644 (62320) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 50Β’ | $1 | $2 | +$1 | 58% 50745-36872 (87617) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 40Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 51% 19728-18882 (38610) |
Invested
$52.46
Value
$54
PnL
+$1.54
Record
51%
6701-6393 (13094)
Invested
$83.6
Value
$100
PnL
+$16.4
Record
57%
69604-52928 (122532)
Invested
$22.52
Value
$31
PnL
+$8.48
Record
54%
14340-12139 (26479)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$13.52
Value
$14.38
PnL
+$0.86
Record
63%
51064-30076 (81140)
Invested
$13.52
Value
$17
PnL
+$3.48
Record
65%
21441-11773 (33214)
Invested
$16.8
Value
$20
PnL
+$3.2
Record
58%
60064-43843 (103907)
Invested
$9.44
Value
$11.2
PnL
+$1.76
Record
52%
89215-83682 (172897)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$2.71
Value
β
PnL
-$2.71
Record
64%
39676-22644 (62320)
Invested
$1
Value
$2
PnL
+$1
Record
58%
50745-36872 (87617)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19728-18882 (38610)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down β $54
uninformedfloww
Down β $100
tmsd-test
Down β $31

UpandDownSyndrome
Down β $14.38
aaa221
Down β $17
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down β $20
dvasdkasodk
Down β $11.2

ohioism
CTRUp β $0
PBot-6
Down β $2
devonpoll
CTRUp β $0