Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
6
Up 67%
2 arb excluded
$575.56
$102.45
Smart Money Signal
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.4¢ | $173.99 | $176.89 | +$2.9 | 93% 22483-1729 (24212) |
TM tmsd-testARB<$100 | Downavg 53.8¢ | $145.74 | $75 | -$70.74 | 54% 14340-12139 (26479) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 53.8¢ | $111.1 | — | -$111.1 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 46.2¢ | $34.64 | $75 | +$40.36 | |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 55.3¢ | $109.18 | $197.36 | +$88.18 | 57% 69604-52928 (122532) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 61.8¢ | $61.22 | $60.31 | -$0.91 | 51% 6701-6393 (13094) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 47¢ | $28.36 | $60.31 | +$31.95 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 61.8¢ | $32.86 | — | -$32.86 | |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 67.2¢ | $47.76 | $59.99 | +$20.92 | 65% 21441-11773 (33214) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 49.6¢ | $8.77 | — | -$8.77 | 58% 50745-36872 (87617) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $2.82 | $6 | +$3.18 | 52% 89215-83682 (172897) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 70¢ | $3.96 | — | -$3.96 | 56% 57515-44418 (101933) |
Invested
$173.99
Value
$176.89
PnL
+$2.9
Record
93%
22483-1729 (24212)
Invested
$145.74
Value
$75
PnL
-$70.74
Record
54%
14340-12139 (26479)
Both legs:
Invested
$109.18
Value
$197.36
PnL
+$88.18
Record
57%
69604-52928 (122532)
Invested
$61.22
Value
$60.31
PnL
-$0.91
Record
51%
6701-6393 (13094)
Both legs:
Invested
$47.76
Value
$59.99
PnL
+$20.92
Record
65%
21441-11773 (33214)
Invested
$8.77
Value
—
PnL
-$8.77
Record
58%
50745-36872 (87617)
Invested
$2.82
Value
$6
PnL
+$3.18
Record
52%
89215-83682 (172897)
Invested
$3.96
Value
—
PnL
-$3.96
Record
56%
57515-44418 (101933)
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