Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
9
Down 75%
$602.48
-$38.85
Smart Money Signal
6 of 9 top traders (67%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98Β’ | $454.5 | $463.68 | +$9.18 | 93% 22362-1721 (24083) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 62.7Β’ | $85.88 | $89 | +$3.12 | 51% 6564-6251 (12815) |
TM tmsd-testCTR<$100 | Upavg 23.9Β’ | $28.05 | β | -$28.05 | 54% 14320-12113 (26433) |
AS aswfadq1555CTR<$100 | Upavg 46.1Β’ | $18.45 | β | -$18.45 | 54% 15128-13039 (28167) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 71.6Β’ | $92.64 | $17.05 | -$11.34 | 65% 21027-11533 (32560) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 93.6Β’ | $15.5 | $16.55 | +$1.05 | 63% 50847-30010 (80857) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 93Β’ | $5.58 | $6 | +$0.42 | 52% 89056-83535 (172591) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 49Β’ | $5 | $10.2 | +$5.2 | 66% 111247-57501 (168748) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 69Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 51% 19689-18852 (38541) |
Invested
$454.5
Value
$463.68
PnL
+$9.18
Record
93%
22362-1721 (24083)
Invested
$85.88
Value
$89
PnL
+$3.12
Record
51%
6564-6251 (12815)
Invested
$28.05
Value
β
PnL
-$28.05
Record
54%
14320-12113 (26433)
Invested
$18.45
Value
β
PnL
-$18.45
Record
54%
15128-13039 (28167)
Invested
$92.64
Value
$17.05
PnL
-$11.34
Record
65%
21027-11533 (32560)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$15.5
Value
$16.55
PnL
+$1.05
Record
63%
50847-30010 (80857)
Invested
$5.58
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.42
Record
52%
89056-83535 (172591)
Invested
$5
Value
$10.2
PnL
+$5.2
Record
66%
111247-57501 (168748)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19689-18852 (38541)
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