Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Down 75%
2 arb excluded
$613.9
$23.56
Smart Money Signal
6 of 9 top traders (67%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $295.28 | $298.26 | +$2.98 | 93% 22322-1716 (24038) |
 Polkadot-FrogARB<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $60.07 | $81.47 | +$21.41 | 64% 57374-32152 (89526) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 24.3¢ | $19.78 | $81.47 | +$61.69 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $40.28 | — | -$40.28 | |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 74.9¢ | $78.05 | $81.99 | +$3.95 | 51% 6507-6200 (12707) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 34.1¢ | $27.94 | $81.99 | +$54.06 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 74.9¢ | $50.11 | — | -$50.11 | |
AS aswfadq1555<$100 | Downavg 28.5¢ | $25.7 | $55 | +$29.3 | 54% 15122-13027 (28149) |
 wowitsamazing<$100 | Downavg 52.3¢ | $30 | $57.41 | +$27.41 | 58% 12458-9125 (21583) |
TM tmsd-testCTR<$100 | Upavg 43.3¢ | $27.42 | — | -$27.42 | 54% 14301-12092 (26393) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 75.3¢ | $34.84 | — | -$32.74 | 65% 20906-11464 (32370) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 41¢ | $7.02 | $17.12 | +$10.1 | 63% 50771-29982 (80753) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 41¢ | $6.97 | $17 | +$10.03 | 56% 57417-44359 (101776) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 31¢ | $1.75 | $5.65 | +$3.9 | 52% 88990-83472 (172462) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | — | — | +$0 | 51% 19668-18828 (38496) |
Invested
$295.28
Value
$298.26
PnL
+$2.98
Record
93%
22322-1716 (24038)
Polkadot-FrogARB<$100Invested
$60.07
Value
$81.47
PnL
+$21.41
Record
64%
57374-32152 (89526)
Both legs:
Invested
$78.05
Value
$81.99
PnL
+$3.95
Record
51%
6507-6200 (12707)
Both legs:
Invested
$25.7
Value
$55
PnL
+$29.3
Record
54%
15122-13027 (28149)
wowitsamazing<$100Invested
$30
Value
$57.41
PnL
+$27.41
Record
58%
12458-9125 (21583)
Invested
$27.42
Value
—
PnL
-$27.42
Record
54%
14301-12092 (26393)
Invested
$34.84
Value
—
PnL
-$32.74
Record
65%
20906-11464 (32370)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$7.02
Value
$17.12
PnL
+$10.1
Record
63%
50771-29982 (80753)
Invested
$6.97
Value
$17
PnL
+$10.03
Record
56%
57417-44359 (101776)
Invested
$1.75
Value
$5.65
PnL
+$3.9
Record
52%
88990-83472 (172462)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19668-18828 (38496)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $298.26
Polkadot-Frog
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
aswfadq1555
Down — $55
wowitsamazing
Down — $57.41
tmsd-test
CTRUp — $0
aaa221
CTRUp — $0
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $17.12
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $17
dvasdkasodk
Down — $5.65