Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
6
Down 67%
2 arb excluded
$288.22
-$4.46
Smart Money Signal
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Polkadot-FrogARB<$100 | Downavg 44.1¢ | $111.41 | $135.5 | +$24.09 | 64% 57374-32152 (89526) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 38¢ | $51.69 | — | -$51.69 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 44.1¢ | $59.72 | $135.5 | +$75.78 | |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 59.7¢ | $67.59 | $65.59 | -$2 | 51% 6507-6200 (12707) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 59.7¢ | $39.19 | $65.59 | +$26.4 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 43.4¢ | $28.4 | — | -$28.4 | |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $29.7 | $30 | +$0.3 | 93% 22322-1716 (24038) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 74.9¢ | $25.1 | $29.47 | +$4.37 | 65% 20906-11464 (32370) |
AS aswfadq1555<$100 | Downavg 67¢ | $9.53 | $14 | +$4.47 | 54% 15122-13027 (28149) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 77.4¢ | $10.58 | $13.66 | +$3.08 | 63% 50771-29982 (80753) |
TM tmsd-testCTR<$100 | Upavg 24.9¢ | $11.68 | — | -$11.68 | 54% 14301-12092 (26393) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 49.5¢ | $5 | — | -$5 | 58% 37308-26476 (63784) |
Polkadot-FrogARB<$100Invested
$111.41
Value
$135.5
PnL
+$24.09
Record
64%
57374-32152 (89526)
Both legs:
Invested
$67.59
Value
$65.59
PnL
-$2
Record
51%
6507-6200 (12707)
Both legs:
Invested
$29.7
Value
$30
PnL
+$0.3
Record
93%
22322-1716 (24038)
Invested
$25.1
Value
$29.47
PnL
+$4.37
Record
65%
20906-11464 (32370)
Invested
$9.53
Value
$14
PnL
+$4.47
Record
54%
15122-13027 (28149)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$10.58
Value
$13.66
PnL
+$3.08
Record
63%
50771-29982 (80753)
Invested
$11.68
Value
—
PnL
-$11.68
Record
54%
14301-12092 (26393)
Invested
$5
Value
—
PnL
-$5
Record
58%
37308-26476 (63784)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.