Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 50%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$914.95

Combined PnL

-$26.07

Down

5 of 10 top traders (50%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Up0%

Down100%

Down5 traders

Total Value$546.13

Total Shares546

Combined PnL+$73.69

Up5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares141

Combined PnL-$99.76

Down — 50%Up — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
TM tmsd-test	Downavg 63.3¢	$186.26	$277.98	+$91.72	54% 14294-12088 (26382)
AS aswfadq1555ARB<$100	Upavg 32.8¢	$145.54	$222.78	+$77.24	54% 15110-13017 (28127)
└ Down leg	Downavg 24.4¢	$54.32	$222.78	+$168.47
└ Up leg	Upavg 32.8¢	$91.23	—	-$91.23
HO hoodquant	Downavg 97.5¢	$146.61	$150.44	+$3.83	93% 22269-1715 (23984)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Upavg 64.8¢	$73.62	—	-$73.62	51% 6457-6156 (12613)
UpandDownSyndromeARB<$100	Downavg 93.5¢	$126.59	$76.03	-$50.56	63% 50719-29966 (80685)
└ Down leg	Downavg 93.5¢	$71.06	$76.03	+$4.97
└ Up leg	Upavg 94.9¢	$55.53	—	-$55.53
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100	Upavg 82.1¢	$56.29	$70	+$13.71	57% 69092-52584 (121676)
└ Down leg	Downavg 28.6¢	$20	$70	+$50
└ Up leg	Upavg 82.1¢	$36.29	—	-$36.29
0X 0x50f7<$100	Downavg 99.9¢	$44.96	$45	+$0.05	59% 61841-42785 (104626)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 89.8¢	$89.65	$59.72	-$28.92	65% 20812-11390 (32202)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 23¢	$8.77	—	-$8.77	56% 57395-44340 (101735)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 38.4¢	$13.29	—	-$13.29	52% 88930-83410 (172340)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100	Upavg 67.2¢	$32.42	—	-$4.02	64% 57344-32114 (89458)
BoneOhio<$100	Downavg 46¢	$5.98	$13	+$7.02	74% 101965-36273 (138238)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 2.9¢	$0.06	—	-$0.06	62% 43491-26415 (69906)