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DownDownUp
Polkadot-Frog<$100DownDownUp
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Down 67%
Total Value
$74.12
Combined PnL
$9.13
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$74.12
Total Shares74
Combined PnL+$17.7
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares16
Combined PnL-$8.58
Down — 67%Up — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AS aswfadq1555<$100 | Downavg 36.4¢ | $28.08 | $42 | +$13.92 | 54% 15092-13011 (28103) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 68.2¢ | $21.94 | $25 | +$3.06 | 51% 6406-6111 (12517) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 53.9¢ | $7.99 | — | -$7.99 | 57% 68891-52429 (121320) |
Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $4.3 | $5 | +$0.7 | 64% 57269-32043 (89312) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $2.1 | $2.12 | +$0.02 | 93% 22201-1713 (23914) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 37¢ | $0.59 | — | -$0.59 | 65% 20711-11321 (32032) |
AS
aswfadq1555<$100Invested
$28.08
Value
$42
PnL
+$13.92
Record
54%
15092-13011 (28103)
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$21.94
Value
$25
PnL
+$3.06
Record
51%
6406-6111 (12517)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$7.99
Value
—
PnL
-$7.99
Record
57%
68891-52429 (121320)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$4.3
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.7
Record
64%
57269-32043 (89312)
HO
hoodquant<$100Invested
$2.1
Value
$2.12
PnL
+$0.02
Record
93%
22201-1713 (23914)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$0.59
Value
—
PnL
-$0.59
Record
65%
20711-11321 (32032)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc11a3290...f3da0d
Slug
eth-updown-15m-1793116800