Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
10
Down 89%
$623.15
$172.2
Smart Money Signal
8 of 10 top traders (80%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TM tmsd-test | Downavg 68.2¢ | $295.04 | $432.73 | +$137.7 | 54% 14287-12076 (26363) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $41.65 | $85 | +$43.35 | 58% 50624-36766 (87390) |
AS aswfadq1555<$100 | Downavg 64.9¢ | $36.31 | $31.66 | -$4.65 | 54% 15084-12995 (28079) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 77.8¢ | $23.03 | $20.87 | -$2.16 | 51% 6357-6072 (12429) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $17 | $20 | +$3 | 58% 59914-43736 (103650) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 84.6¢ | $14.25 | $16.85 | +$2.6 | 63% 50639-29898 (80537) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 37.3¢ | $11.7 | — | -$11.7 | 55% 17077-13720 (30797) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $5.5 | $11 | +$5.5 | 58% 37208-26416 (63624) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 73.6¢ | $13.52 | $5.04 | -$1.44 | 65% 20619-11265 (31884) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 19576-18764 (38340) |
Invested
$295.04
Value
$432.73
PnL
+$137.7
Record
54%
14287-12076 (26363)
Invested
$41.65
Value
$85
PnL
+$43.35
Record
58%
50624-36766 (87390)
Invested
$36.31
Value
$31.66
PnL
-$4.65
Record
54%
15084-12995 (28079)
Invested
$23.03
Value
$20.87
PnL
-$2.16
Record
51%
6357-6072 (12429)
Invested
$17
Value
$20
PnL
+$3
Record
58%
59914-43736 (103650)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$14.25
Value
$16.85
PnL
+$2.6
Record
63%
50639-29898 (80537)
Invested
$11.7
Value
—
PnL
-$11.7
Record
55%
17077-13720 (30797)
Invested
$5.5
Value
$11
PnL
+$5.5
Record
58%
37208-26416 (63624)
Invested
$13.52
Value
$5.04
PnL
-$1.44
Record
65%
20619-11265 (31884)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19576-18764 (38340)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
tmsd-test
Down — $432.73
PBot-6
Down — $85
aswfadq1555
Down — $31.66
ply-pm2
Down — $20.87
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $20
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $16.85
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRUp — $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $11
aaa221
Down — $5.04
devonpoll
CTRUp — $0