Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 36% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
Down 40%
1 arb excluded
$1.0K
-$27.24
Smart Money Signal
4 of 11 top traders (36%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100 | Upavg 56.4¢ | $530.26 | $523.9 | -$6.37 | 68% 98394-46667 (145061) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 56.4¢ | $351.06 | — | -$351.06 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 34.2¢ | $179.2 | $523.9 | +$344.69 | |
TM tmsd-test | Downavg 61¢ | $265.07 | $426.96 | +$161.88 | 54% 14282-12072 (26354) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 41.8¢ | $49.01 | $64.9 | +$15.9 | 51% 6340-6042 (12382) |
AS aswfadq1555CTR<$100 | Upavg 66.3¢ | $57.14 | — | -$57.14 | 54% 15082-12986 (28068) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 55.7¢ | $90.25 | — | -$63.44 | 65% 20576-11237 (31813) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 44.6¢ | $11.8 | — | -$11.8 | 52% 88790-83234 (172024) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 52.5¢ | $40.6 | — | -$40.6 | 55% 17045-13693 (30738) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $11.48 | $22.51 | +$11.03 | 56% 57324-44290 (101614) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 39¢ | $6.75 | — | -$6.75 | 63% 50616-29893 (80509) |
HO hoodquantCTR<$100 | Upavg 96.3¢ | $33.32 | — | -$33.32 | 93% 22133-1706 (23839) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $0.96 | $1.96 | +$1 | 58% 50620-36754 (87374) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 66¢ | $13.2 | — | -$4 | 51% 19565-18744 (38309) |
Invested
$530.26
Value
$523.9
PnL
-$6.37
Record
68%
98394-46667 (145061)
Both legs:
Invested
$265.07
Value
$426.96
PnL
+$161.88
Record
54%
14282-12072 (26354)
Invested
$49.01
Value
$64.9
PnL
+$15.9
Record
51%
6340-6042 (12382)
Invested
$57.14
Value
—
PnL
-$57.14
Record
54%
15082-12986 (28068)
Invested
$90.25
Value
—
PnL
-$63.44
Record
65%
20576-11237 (31813)
Invested
$11.8
Value
—
PnL
-$11.8
Record
52%
88790-83234 (172024)
Invested
$40.6
Value
—
PnL
-$40.6
Record
55%
17045-13693 (30738)
Invested
$11.48
Value
$22.51
PnL
+$11.03
Record
56%
57324-44290 (101614)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$6.75
Value
—
PnL
-$6.75
Record
63%
50616-29893 (80509)
Invested
$33.32
Value
—
PnL
-$33.32
Record
93%
22133-1706 (23839)
Invested
$0.96
Value
$1.96
PnL
+$1
Record
58%
50620-36754 (87374)
Invested
$13.2
Value
—
PnL
-$4
Record
51%
19565-18744 (38309)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
ARBArbitrage — excluded
tmsd-test
Down — $426.96
ply-pm2
Down — $64.9
aswfadq1555
CTRUp — $0
aaa221
CTRUp — $0
dvasdkasodk
CTRUp — $0
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRUp — $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $22.51
UpandDownSyndrome
CTRUp — $0
hoodquant
CTRUp — $0