Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
14
Down 62%
1 arb excluded
$1.8K
-$420.44
Smart Money Signal
8 of 14 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.9¢ | $1.2K | $1.2K | +$13.88 | 93% 22113-1706 (23819) |
TM tmsd-testCTR | Upavg 67.8¢ | $367.56 | — | -$367.56 | 54% 14281-12070 (26351) |
AS aswfadq1555 | Downavg 69.5¢ | $114.79 | $110 | -$4.8 | 54% 15078-12982 (28060) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 59¢ | $103.43 | $103.78 | +$0.35 | 51% 6332-6019 (12351) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 43.7¢ | $45.37 | $103.78 | +$58.4 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 59¢ | $58.05 | — | -$58.05 | |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530 | Downavg 59.9¢ | $99.72 | $110.47 | +$10.75 | 56% 57308-44288 (101596) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 79.2¢ | $86.4 | $73.47 | -$12.93 | 55% 17023-13675 (30698) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Upavg 67¢ | $33.62 | — | -$33.62 | 74% 101896-36253 (138149) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 67¢ | $33.55 | — | -$33.55 | 58% 59897-43723 (103620) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $24.54 | $49.08 | +$24.54 | 58% 50611-36747 (87358) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 65¢ | $19 | $20.6 | +$1.6 | 52% 88772-83208 (171980) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 85.4¢ | $13.96 | $16.35 | +$2.39 | 63% 50605-29885 (80490) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 56.3¢ | $39.07 | — | -$22.57 | 65% 20534-11219 (31753) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 28¢ | $14.02 | $50.08 | +$36.06 | 64% 39537-22547 (62084) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 22.9¢ | $34.63 | — | -$34.63 | 62% 43450-26355 (69805) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | — | — | +$0 | 51% 19552-18740 (38292) |
Invested
$1,218.45
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$13.88
Record
93%
22113-1706 (23819)
Invested
$367.56
Value
—
PnL
-$367.56
Record
54%
14281-12070 (26351)
Invested
$114.79
Value
$110
PnL
-$4.8
Record
54%
15078-12982 (28060)
Invested
$103.43
Value
$103.78
PnL
+$0.35
Record
51%
6332-6019 (12351)
Both legs:
Invested
$99.72
Value
$110.47
PnL
+$10.75
Record
56%
57308-44288 (101596)
Invested
$86.4
Value
$73.47
PnL
-$12.93
Record
55%
17023-13675 (30698)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$33.62
Value
—
PnL
-$33.62
Record
74%
101896-36253 (138149)
Invested
$33.55
Value
—
PnL
-$33.55
Record
58%
59897-43723 (103620)
Invested
$24.54
Value
$49.08
PnL
+$24.54
Record
58%
50611-36747 (87358)
Invested
$19
Value
$20.6
PnL
+$1.6
Record
52%
88772-83208 (171980)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$13.96
Value
$16.35
PnL
+$2.39
Record
63%
50605-29885 (80490)
Invested
$39.07
Value
—
PnL
-$22.57
Record
65%
20534-11219 (31753)
ohioism<$100Invested
$14.02
Value
$50.08
PnL
+$36.06
Record
64%
39537-22547 (62084)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$34.63
Value
—
PnL
-$34.63
Record
62%
43450-26355 (69805)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19552-18740 (38292)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $1.2K
tmsd-test
CTRUp — $0
aswfadq1555
Down — $110
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $110.47
Kathod-Shi-14
Down — $73.47
BoneOhio
CTRUp — $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRUp — $0
PBot-6
Down — $49.08
dvasdkasodk
Down — $20.6