Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
12
Down 82%
1 arb excluded
$1.7K
-$90.37
Smart Money Signal
9 of 12 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $1.2K | $1.2K | +$11.93 | 93% 22113-1706 (23819) |
TM tmsd-testCTR | Upavg 39.7¢ | $348.25 | — | -$348.25 | 54% 14281-12070 (26351) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025 | Downavg 31.7¢ | $46.14 | $145.45 | +$99.31 | 58% 59897-43723 (103620) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 57.8¢ | $84.76 | $84.18 | -$0.58 | 51% 6332-6019 (12351) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 44.5¢ | $37.47 | $84.18 | +$46.71 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 57.8¢ | $47.29 | — | -$47.29 | |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 61.7¢ | $44.5 | $72.14 | +$27.64 | 55% 17023-13675 (30698) |
 ohioism | Downavg 26¢ | $26.07 | $100.26 | +$74.18 | 64% 39537-22547 (62084) |
AS aswfadq1555<$100 | Downavg 27.9¢ | $11.49 | $22.97 | +$11.48 | 54% 15078-12982 (28060) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 30¢ | $15.02 | $50.07 | +$35.05 | 56% 57308-44288 (101596) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 65.2¢ | $10.8 | $14.27 | +$3.47 | 52% 88772-83208 (171980) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 45.4¢ | $11.3 | $13.88 | +$2.58 | 66% 111116-57341 (168457) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 88.8¢ | $12.64 | $14.23 | +$1.59 | 63% 50605-29885 (80490) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 31.6¢ | $44.05 | — | -$9.36 | 65% 20534-11219 (31753) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 19552-18740 (38292) |
Invested
$1,181.07
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$11.93
Record
93%
22113-1706 (23819)
Invested
$348.25
Value
—
PnL
-$348.25
Record
54%
14281-12070 (26351)
Invested
$46.14
Value
$145.45
PnL
+$99.31
Record
58%
59897-43723 (103620)
Invested
$84.76
Value
$84.18
PnL
-$0.58
Record
51%
6332-6019 (12351)
Both legs:
Invested
$44.5
Value
$72.14
PnL
+$27.64
Record
55%
17023-13675 (30698)
ohioismInvested
$26.07
Value
$100.26
PnL
+$74.18
Record
64%
39537-22547 (62084)
Invested
$11.49
Value
$22.97
PnL
+$11.48
Record
54%
15078-12982 (28060)
Invested
$15.02
Value
$50.07
PnL
+$35.05
Record
56%
57308-44288 (101596)
Invested
$10.8
Value
$14.27
PnL
+$3.47
Record
52%
88772-83208 (171980)
Invested
$11.3
Value
$13.88
PnL
+$2.58
Record
66%
111116-57341 (168457)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$12.64
Value
$14.23
PnL
+$1.59
Record
63%
50605-29885 (80490)
Invested
$44.05
Value
—
PnL
-$9.36
Record
65%
20534-11219 (31753)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19552-18740 (38292)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $1.2K
tmsd-test
CTRUp — $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $145.45
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Kathod-Shi-14
Down — $72.14
ohioism
Down — $100.26
aswfadq1555
Down — $22.97
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $50.07
dvasdkasodk
Down — $14.27
antsaslyku
Down — $13.88