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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Resolved Up. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Down 70%

Total Value

$122.79

Combined PnL

-$98.02

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 11 top traders (64%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up4 traders
Total Value$122.79
Total Shares123
Combined PnL+$18.73
Down7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares577
Combined PnL-$116.76
Up — 36%Down — 64%
PL
ply-pm2<$100
Up

Invested

$63.28

Value

$59

PnL

-$4.28

Record

51%

6312-5995 (12307)

ohioism<$100
Up

Invested

$37.14

Value

$50.18

PnL

+$13.04

Record

64%

39528-22542 (62070)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$33.6

Value

—

PnL

-$33.6

Record

55%

16996-13641 (30637)

AS
aswfadq1555CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$24.67

Value

—

PnL

-$24.67

Record

54%

15073-12979 (28052)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$21.18

Value

—

PnL

-$21.18

Record

56%

57299-44283 (101582)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$30.36

Value

$13.61

PnL

+$9.97

Record

65%

20472-11181 (31653)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$8.85

Value

—

PnL

-$8.85

Record

62%

43445-26347 (69792)

TM
tmsd-testCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$13.98

Value

—

PnL

-$13.98

Record

54%

14280-12067 (26347)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$12.68

Value

—

PnL

-$12.68

Record

58%

59890-43717 (103607)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.8

Value

—

PnL

-$1.8

Record

52%

88749-83182 (171931)

DE
devonpoll<$100
Up

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

19546-18734 (38280)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x8f8c82f6...0fed3b
Slug
eth-updown-15m-1793090700

Traders in this Market

PL

ply-pm2

Up — $59

-$4.28

ohioism

Up — $50.18

+$13.04
KA

Kathod-Shi-14

CTR

Down — $0

-$33.6
AS

aswfadq1555

CTR

Down — $0

-$24.67
0X

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

CTR

Down — $0

-$21.18
AA

aaa221

Up — $13.61

+$9.97

G-Penis-Monster

CTR

Down — $0

-$8.85
TM

tmsd-test

CTR

Down — $0

-$13.98
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

CTR

Down — $0

-$12.68
DV

dvasdkasodk

CTR

Down — $0

-$1.8
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