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YesNo
HRTrading<$100Yes
VeryLucky888CTR<$100NoNo
tradecraftCTR<$100NoNo Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was No β but Yes won instead.
Will FCI Levadia Tallinn win on 2026-10-31?
Resolved Yes. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
No 50%
Total Value
$99.01
Combined PnL
-$129.11
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes2 traders
Total Value$99.01
Total Shares99
Combined PnL-$23.65
No5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares413
Combined PnL-$105.47
Yes β 29%No β 71%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BE Betziko<$100 | Yesavg 79.1Β’ | $67.2 | $85 | -$28.43 | 54% 6304-5335 (11639) |
WE WeBuyHighWeSelllowCTR | Noavg 33.6Β’ | $72.49 | β | -$72.49 | 54% 4896-4121 (9017) |
![]() HRTrading<$100 | Yesavg 67Β’ | $9.39 | $14.01 | +$4.78 | 53% 4792-4312 (9104) |
![]() VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Noavg 33.9Β’ | $77.07 | β | -$32.98 | 58% 42027-30514 (72541) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100 | Noavg 19.9Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 59% 45969-32302 (78271) |
![]() tradecraftCTR<$100 | Noavg 32Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 51% 6018-5720 (11738) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Noavg 18.6Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 50% 25208-24935 (50143) |
BE
Betziko<$100Invested
$67.2
Value
$85
PnL
-$28.43
Record
54%
6304-5335 (11639)
WE
WeBuyHighWeSelllowCTRInvested
$72.49
Value
β
PnL
-$72.49
Record
54%
4896-4121 (9017)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$9.39
Value
$14.01
PnL
+$4.78
Record
53%
4792-4312 (9104)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$77.07
Value
β
PnL
-$32.98
Record
58%
42027-30514 (72541)
UP
UpTheBluesCTR<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
45969-32302 (78271)
tradecraftCTR<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
6018-5720 (11738)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
25208-24935 (50143)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe2b9e29b...108723
Slug
est1-nom-lev-2026-10-31-lev