Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5
Resolved Under. 45% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
11
Over 50%
$153.14
-$755.53
Smart Money Signal
5 of 11 top traders (45%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AN Anon455CTR | Overavg 37.7¢ | $393.53 | — | -$393.53 | 55% 2937-2368 (5305) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Overavg 29.9¢ | $234.47 | — | -$234.47 | 50% 25208-24935 (50143) |
FO foooool<$100 | Underavg 66.6¢ | $55.31 | $83.03 | +$27.72 | 50% 10919-10736 (21655) |
 HRTrading<$100 | Underavg 62.5¢ | $46.6 | $58.58 | +$11.98 | 53% 4792-4312 (9104) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR | Overavg 37.4¢ | $171.16 | — | -$171.16 | 49% 8081-8480 (16561) |
 0xheavy888<$100 | Underavg 66¢ | $7.61 | $11.54 | +$3.92 | 55% 7136-5731 (12867) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Underavg 64.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 45969-32302 (78271) |
 RN1<$100 | Underavg 64¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 56681-48879 (105560) |
OM omnibus-076daa<$100 | Underavg 64¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 19212-19597 (38809) |
NO NordhavenCapCTR<$100 | Overavg 24¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 2168-1606 (3774) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Overavg 28¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 12681-13099 (25780) |
Invested
$393.53
Value
—
PnL
-$393.53
Record
55%
2937-2368 (5305)
Invested
$234.47
Value
—
PnL
-$234.47
Record
50%
25208-24935 (50143)
Invested
$55.31
Value
$83.03
PnL
+$27.72
Record
50%
10919-10736 (21655)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$46.6
Value
$58.58
PnL
+$11.98
Record
53%
4792-4312 (9104)
Invested
$171.16
Value
—
PnL
-$171.16
Record
49%
8081-8480 (16561)
0xheavy888<$100Invested
$7.61
Value
$11.54
PnL
+$3.92
Record
55%
7136-5731 (12867)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
45969-32302 (78271)
RN1<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
56681-48879 (105560)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
19212-19597 (38809)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
2168-1606 (3774)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
12681-13099 (25780)
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