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oieshfn345CTRYes
CoinTrick<$100NoNo
HRTrading<$100NoNo
tradecraft<$100No
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Yes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Boston United FC vs. Gateshead FC end in a draw?
Resolved No. 29% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 25%
Total Value
$104.9
Combined PnL
-$385.25
Smart Money Signal
Yes
2 of 7 top traders (29%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares524
Combined PnL-$413.46
No5 traders
Total Value$104.9
Total Shares105
Combined PnL+$28.2
Yes — 29%No — 71%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
oieshfn345CTR | Yesavg 72.2¢ | $413.46 | — | -$413.46 | 58% 1610-1186 (2796) |
CoinTrick<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $70.71 | $70.71 | +$0.07 | 98% 3088-75 (3163) |
VA Vampiro1<$100 | Noavg 11¢ | $3.3 | $30 | +$26.71 | 77% 3067-934 (4001) |
HRTrading<$100 | Noavg 66.3¢ | $2.78 | $4.19 | +$1.42 | 54% 2744-2368 (5112) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Noavg 77¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 44384-30773 (75157) |
tradecraft<$100 | Noavg 15¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 5841-5466 (11307) |
VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Yesavg 22¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 40527-29300 (69827) |
oieshfn345CTRInvested
$413.46
Value
—
PnL
-$413.46
Record
58%
1610-1186 (2796)
CoinTrick<$100Invested
$70.71
Value
$70.71
PnL
+$0.07
Record
98%
3088-75 (3163)
VA
Vampiro1<$100Invested
$3.3
Value
$30
PnL
+$26.71
Record
77%
3067-934 (4001)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$2.78
Value
$4.19
PnL
+$1.42
Record
54%
2744-2368 (5112)
UP
UpTheBlues<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
44384-30773 (75157)
tradecraft<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
5841-5466 (11307)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
40527-29300 (69827)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x7832487e...84a7f4
Slug
enl-bos-gat-2026-10-27-draw