Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Barrow AFC win on 2026-10-31?
Resolved No. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
Yes 43%
$997.52
$410.87
Smart Money Signal
3 of 8 top traders (38%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 RN1CTR | Yesavg 12¢ | $81.21 | $283.48 | +$202.27 | 54% 56824-49050 (105874) |
LU LuckyLoo | Noavg 12.2¢ | $28.39 | $231.8 | +$203.41 | 49% 12788-13237 (26025) |
UP UpTheBlues | Noavg 23.3¢ | $74.34 | $212.83 | +$138.49 | 59% 46230-32531 (78761) |
TO topdogbigboi | Noavg 54.6¢ | $200.42 | $202.49 | +$2.07 | 48% 8249-8767 (17016) |
RE retarb<$100 | Noavg 87.7¢ | $95.57 | $35 | +$0.85 | 48% 4236-4513 (8749) |
 poshposhCTR | Yesavg 88.3¢ | $173.13 | $27.92 | -$145.21 | 59% 10341-7332 (17673) |
 HRTradingCTR<$100 | Yesavg 60¢ | $3.33 | $4.01 | +$0.68 | 53% 5014-4502 (9516) |
 VeryLucky888<$100 | Noavg 35¢ | $4.48 | — | +$8.32 | 58% 42202-30652 (72854) |
RN1CTRInvested
$81.21
Value
$283.48
PnL
+$202.27
Record
54%
56824-49050 (105874)
Invested
$28.39
Value
$231.8
PnL
+$203.41
Record
49%
12788-13237 (26025)
Invested
$74.34
Value
$212.83
PnL
+$138.49
Record
59%
46230-32531 (78761)
Invested
$200.42
Value
$202.49
PnL
+$2.07
Record
48%
8249-8767 (17016)
Invested
$95.57
Value
$35
PnL
+$0.85
Record
48%
4236-4513 (8749)
poshposhCTRInvested
$173.13
Value
$27.92
PnL
-$145.21
Record
59%
10341-7332 (17673)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
$3.33
Value
$4.01
PnL
+$0.68
Record
53%
5014-4502 (9516)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$4.48
Value
—
PnL
+$8.32
Record
58%
42202-30652 (72854)
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