Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Altrincham FC vs. Carlisle United FC: O/U 5.5
Resolved Over. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
10
Under 100%
$0
-$197.56
Smart Money Signal
7 of 10 top traders (70%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TO topdogbigboiCTR | Underavg 72.8¢ | $128.41 | — | -$128.41 | 49% 8081-8480 (16561) |
 poshposhCTR<$100 | Underavg 86¢ | $45.97 | — | -$48.13 | 59% 10257-7240 (17497) |
RO Rocko33CTR<$100 | Underavg 63¢ | $5.78 | — | -$6.15 | 64% 1125-646 (1771) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100 | Underavg 86.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 45969-32302 (78271) |
 RN1CTR<$100 | Underavg 82.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 56681-48879 (105560) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Underavg 81.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 25208-24935 (50143) |
LU LuckyLoo<$100 | Overavg 13¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 12681-13099 (25780) |
VA Vampiro1<$100 | Overavg 20.2¢ | $27.85 | — | -$8.41 | 77% 3341-1010 (4351) |
BE Betyourself<$100 | Overavg 17.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 64% 2255-1266 (3521) |
 ARTEM-DZYUBACTR<$100 | Underavg 69¢ | $6.9 | — | -$6.46 | 85% 5371-932 (6303) |
Invested
$128.41
Value
—
PnL
-$128.41
Record
49%
8081-8480 (16561)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$45.97
Value
—
PnL
-$48.13
Record
59%
10257-7240 (17497)
Invested
$5.78
Value
—
PnL
-$6.15
Record
64%
1125-646 (1771)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
45969-32302 (78271)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
56681-48879 (105560)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
25208-24935 (50143)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
12681-13099 (25780)
Invested
$27.85
Value
—
PnL
-$8.41
Record
77%
3341-1010 (4351)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
64%
2255-1266 (3521)
ARTEM-DZYUBACTR<$100Invested
$6.9
Value
—
PnL
-$6.46
Record
85%
5371-932 (6303)
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