Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Altrincham FC vs. Carlisle United FC: O/U 4.5
Resolved Over. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Under 83%
$1.1K
-$271.32
Smart Money Signal
5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhost | Overavg 51.4¢ | $525.05 | $880.89 | +$354.6 | 50% 25353-25122 (50475) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR | Underavg 52.1¢ | $519.52 | $235.75 | -$283.77 | 59% 46230-32531 (78761) |
LU LuckyLooCTR | Underavg 47¢ | $227.1 | $23.04 | -$204.06 | 49% 12788-13237 (26025) |
BE Betyourself | Overavg 53¢ | $249.6 | $0 | -$72.74 | 64% 2259-1277 (3536) |
AR ARocky33<$100 | Overavg 17¢ | $0.85 | — | +$4.15 | 76% 4105-1297 (5402) |
 ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100 | Overavg 54¢ | $24.3 | — | +$20.09 | 85% 5446-951 (6397) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Underavg 40.8¢ | $76.69 | — | -$76.69 | 48% 8249-8767 (17016) |
RO Rocko33CTR<$100 | Underavg 41¢ | $10.25 | — | -$10.25 | 63% 1153-664 (1817) |
 HRTradingCTR<$100 | Underavg 66¢ | $2.64 | — | -$2.64 | 53% 5014-4502 (9516) |
Invested
$525.05
Value
$880.89
PnL
+$354.6
Record
50%
25353-25122 (50475)
Invested
$519.52
Value
$235.75
PnL
-$283.77
Record
59%
46230-32531 (78761)
Invested
$227.1
Value
$23.04
PnL
-$204.06
Record
49%
12788-13237 (26025)
Invested
$249.6
Value
$0
PnL
-$72.74
Record
64%
2259-1277 (3536)
Invested
$0.85
Value
—
PnL
+$4.15
Record
76%
4105-1297 (5402)
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100Invested
$24.3
Value
—
PnL
+$20.09
Record
85%
5446-951 (6397)
Invested
$76.69
Value
—
PnL
-$76.69
Record
48%
8249-8767 (17016)
Invested
$10.25
Value
—
PnL
-$10.25
Record
63%
1153-664 (1817)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
$2.64
Value
—
PnL
-$2.64
Record
53%
5014-4502 (9516)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.