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Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Nov 3
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Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes3%
No97%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance3.7%
2.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.2¢ fee (Other / General 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$2587.31
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
2687.3
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xe09e608d...87e1fd
Slug
elon-musk-of-tweets-october-27-november-3-2026-440-459