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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Derby County FC vs. Bolton Wanderers FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Resolved Over. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Under 80%
Total Value
$24.98
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Under
4 of 5 top traders (80%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x83c39f5c...1fd6bd
Slug
elc-der-bol-2026-11-06-first-half-total-0pt5