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Under
HRTradingCTR<$100UnderUnder
RN1<$100OverUnderOver Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Under β but Over won instead.

Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Blackpool FC: O/U 1.5
Resolved Over. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Under 100%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$90.3
Combined PnL
-$2.17
Smart Money Signal
Under
3 of 5 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares5
Combined PnL-$2.17
Over2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Under β 60%Over β 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LU LuckyLooARB<$100 | Underavg 23Β’ | $141.08 | $90.3 | -$171.31 | 49% 13022-13588 (26610) |
| β Under leg | Underavg 23Β’ | $77.87 | β | -$192.99 | |
| β Over leg | Overavg 70Β’ | $63.21 | $90.3 | +$21.67 | |
![]() HRTradingCTR<$100 | Underavg 47.9Β’ | $2.17 | β | -$2.17 | 53% 5642-5057 (10699) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100 | Underavg 29.5Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 59% 46920-33177 (80097) |
![]() RN1<$100 | Overavg 73Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 54% 57170-49418 (106588) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Underavg 30.6Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 50% 25666-25500 (51166) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Overavg 87Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 48% 8966-9599 (18565) |
LU
LuckyLooARB<$100Invested
$141.08
Value
$90.3
PnL
-$171.31
Record
49%
13022-13588 (26610)
Both legs:
Under$77.8723Β’-$192.99
Over$63.2170Β’+$21.67
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
$2.17
Value
β
PnL
-$2.17
Record
53%
5642-5057 (10699)
UP
UpTheBluesCTR<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
46920-33177 (80097)
RN1<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
57170-49418 (106588)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
25666-25500 (51166)
TO
topdogbigboi<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
48%
8966-9599 (18565)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8efc1717...2294e1
Slug
el1-swe-bla-2026-11-01-total-1pt5