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NoNoYesNo
HRTradingCTR<$100No
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will Notts County FC win on 2026-10-31?
Resolved Yes. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
No 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$0.25
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares5
Combined PnL-$0.25
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 80%Yes — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Noavg 5¢ | $0.25 | — | -$0.25 | 49% 8081-8480 (16561) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100 | Noavg 65.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 45969-32302 (78271) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Yesavg 57¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 25208-24935 (50143) |
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100 | Noavg 77.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 28788-21225 (50013) |
HRTradingCTR<$100 | Noavg 77¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 4792-4312 (9104) |
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$0.25
Value
—
PnL
-$0.25
Record
49%
8081-8480 (16561)
UP
UpTheBluesCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
45969-32302 (78271)
GO
GoalLineGhost<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
25208-24935 (50143)
LE
LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
28788-21225 (50013)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
4792-4312 (9104)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc249c06d...b58380
Slug
el1-man-not-2026-10-31-not