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VeryLucky888CTR<$100YesYesYesNoNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Abo Qir Semad SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC end in a draw?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$14.19
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares49
Combined PnL-$14.19
No2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 60%No — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Yesavg 35¢ | $13.61 | — | -$13.61 | 58% 42027-30514 (72541) |
AM ameisgoat11CTR<$100 | Yesavg 35¢ | $0.27 | — | -$0.27 | 48% 2424-2645 (5069) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Yesavg 6¢ | $0.3 | — | -$0.3 | 49% 8081-8480 (16561) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Noavg 64¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 45969-32302 (78271) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Noavg 75¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 25208-24935 (50143) |
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$13.61
Value
—
PnL
-$13.61
Record
58%
42027-30514 (72541)
AM
ameisgoat11CTR<$100Invested
$0.27
Value
—
PnL
-$0.27
Record
48%
2424-2645 (5069)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$0.3
Value
—
PnL
-$0.3
Record
49%
8081-8480 (16561)
UP
UpTheBlues<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
45969-32302 (78271)
GO
GoalLineGhost<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
25208-24935 (50143)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x5185a676...fb44a6
Slug
egy1-aqs-gem-2026-10-31-draw