Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs Team Synapse - Game 2 Winner

8 of 12 top Polymarket traders hold Xipto Esports (67%) · Xipto Esports at 96¢ · $16K held · ends Nov 9

Xipto Esports96¢Team Synapse4¢Ends Mon, Nov 9, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Xipto Esports

Consensus Traders

Xipto Esports 67%

Total Value

$15.8K

Combined PnL

$-5.3K

Smart Money Entry

81.9¢ → 95.5¢

+17% since entry · 8 traders

Research grade

NeutralXipto Esports at 96%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Xipto Esports

8 of 12 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Xipto Esports96%

Team Synapse5%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Xipto Esports8 traders

Total Value$15.6K

Total Shares24,282

Combined PnL$-4.7K

Team Synapse4 traders

Total Value$229.68

Total Shares4,852

Combined PnL-$575.27

Xipto Esports — 67%Team Synapse — 33%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SI Sisyphus-	Xipto Esportsavg 81¢	$12.2K	$8.7K	$-3.5K	55% 851-707 (1558)
Tolkonevminus2	Xipto Esportsavg 93¢	$2.5K	$2.5K	+$26.68	61% 132-83 (215)
GE GeorgeRe	Xipto Esportsavg 80.3¢	$2.9K	$2.0K	-$810.58	54% 1197-1033 (2230)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2	Xipto Esportsavg 78.2¢	$1.4K	$1.4K	-$27.65	53% 15728-13882 (29610)
maytopmay	Xipto Esportsavg 82.6¢	$682.47	$475.28	-$207.19	59% 337-230 (567)
PO PourpelNourpel	Xipto Esportsavg 80.2¢	$306.79	$220.07	-$86.72	51% 710-674 (1384)
0X 0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592	Xipto Esportsavg 65.2¢	$203.6	$179.56	-$24.04	59% 1040-730 (1770)
RA RandomVibecoderCTR	Team Synapseavg 15.5¢	$489.06	$141.85	-$347.21	48% 896-957 (1853)
CA calculate10CTR	Team Synapseavg 18.4¢	$383.79	$70.58	-$213.58	54% 1397-1200 (2597)
38 38791873984189<$100	Xipto Esportsavg 85¢	$35.44	$31.17	-$4.27	48% 72230-77977 (150207)
0X 0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7CTR<$100	Team Synapseavg 16.7¢	$5.2	$13.25	+$8.06	33% 1272-2598 (3870)
BA BackTestEoCaraioCTR	Team Synapseavg 9¢	$757.91	$4	-$22.53	61% 661-425 (1086)

Sisyphus-

Xipto Esports

Invested

$12,245.05

Value

$8.7K

PnL

$-3.5K

Record

55%

851-707 (1558)

Tolkonevminus2

Xipto Esports

Invested

$2,519.28

Value

$2.5K

PnL

+$26.68

Record

61%

132-83 (215)

GeorgeRe

Xipto Esports

Invested

$2,853.45

Value

$2.0K

PnL

-$810.58

Record

54%

1197-1033 (2230)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2

Xipto Esports

Invested

$1,388.05

Value

$1.4K

PnL

-$27.65

Record

53%

15728-13882 (29610)

maytopmay

Xipto Esports

Invested

$682.47

Value

$475.28

PnL

-$207.19

Record

59%

337-230 (567)

PourpelNourpel

Xipto Esports

Invested

$306.79

Value

$220.07

PnL

-$86.72

Record

51%

710-674 (1384)

0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592

Xipto Esports

Invested

$203.6

Value

$179.56

PnL

-$24.04

Record

59%

1040-730 (1770)

RandomVibecoderCTR

Team Synapse

Invested

$489.06

Value

$141.85

PnL

-$347.21

Record

48%

896-957 (1853)

calculate10CTR

Team Synapse

Invested

$383.79

Value

$70.58

PnL

-$213.58

Record

54%

1397-1200 (2597)

38791873984189<$100

Xipto Esports

Invested

$35.44

Value

$31.17

PnL

-$4.27

Record

48%

72230-77977 (150207)

0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7CTR<$100

Team Synapse

Invested

$5.2

Value

$13.25

PnL

+$8.06

Record

33%

1272-2598 (3870)

BackTestEoCaraioCTR

Team Synapse

Invested

$757.91

Value

PnL

-$22.53

Record

61%

661-425 (1086)

Research grade

NeutralXipto Esports at 96%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

Smart Money Signal

Xipto Esports

8 of 12 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Xipto Esports wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance96.7%

95.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$3.45

Max Loss

-$100.00

103.4

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.