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Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner

14 of 17 top Polymarket traders hold Power Rangers (82%) · Power Rangers at 81¢ · $71K held · ends Nov 7

Xipto Esports20¢Power Rangers80¢Ends Sat, Nov 7, 2026View on Polymarket
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Research candidate

Power Rangers

Consensus Traders

17

Power Rangers 82%

7 arb excluded

Total Value

$71.0K

Combined PnL

$1.1K

Smart Money Entry

55.9¢ → 80.5¢

+44% since entry · 14 traders

Research grade

Research candidatePower Rangers at 81%

Matches a rule that looked positive after costs in the short windows of our Oct 22 2026 backtest. The full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found no evidence for any of these rules: out of sample they lost money or were noise. A label for a pattern that once looked good, not an edge and not a recommendation.

  • Quality net +3 or moreNot confirmed. Oct 22 backtest: net +3 when the consensus formed made +7.2 % a trade (n 358), with 5 events giving two thirds of it. Full year, out of sample, the closest rule (3+ proven winners, two thirds on the side) lost −1.9 % a trade (n 49,161, 95 % CI −2.6 to −1.1).
  • Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Power Rangers

14 of 17 top traders (82%)7 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Xipto Esports20%
Power Rangers81%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Xipto Esports3 traders
Total Value$20.5K
Total Shares44,795
Combined PnL-$1.82
Power Rangers14 traders
Total Value$36.9K
Total Shares61,318
Combined PnL+$1.1K
Xipto Esports — 18%Power Rangers — 82%
0X
0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592CTR
Xipto Esports

Invested

$19,024.2

Value

$18.8K

PnL

-$256.41

Record

58%

955-684 (1639)

Medo3D
Power Rangers

Invested

$7,223.34

Value

$8.5K

PnL

+$1.3K

Record

41%

182-264 (446)

0X
0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2ARB<$100
Power Rangers

Invested

$8,586.58

Value

$8.1K

PnL

-$527.73

Record

52%

14650-13313 (27963)

Both legs:

Power Rangers$4,346.9557¢+$1.6K
Xipto Esports$4,239.6244¢$-2.2K
SI
Sisyphus-
Power Rangers

Invested

$8,655.42

Value

$7.2K

PnL

$-1.5K

Record

55%

787-646 (1433)

GE
GeorgeRe
Power Rangers

Invested

$4,308.86

Value

$6.2K

PnL

+$1.8K

Record

54%

1138-979 (2117)

RA
RandomVibecoder
Power Rangers

Invested

$4,095.35

Value

$4.5K

PnL

+$387.67

Record

48%

855-909 (1764)

Skritopoolniy
Power Rangers

Invested

$2,992.34

Value

$3.3K

PnL

+$307.21

Record

47%

637-731 (1368)

PA
panpidaras1ARB<$100
Xipto Esports

Invested

$2,640.04

Value

$2.3K

PnL

-$366.73

Record

48%

292-319 (611)

Both legs:

Xipto Esports$1,779.1751.2¢-$197.49
Power Rangers$849.8667.9¢-$169.24
maytopmay
Power Rangers

Invested

$1,833.82

Value

$2.2K

PnL

+$357.74

Record

61%

311-201 (512)

0X
0xffAaEFb5f6762Cc70cb575Da8722E8C895E38cEe-1767374935341CTR
Xipto Esports

Invested

$1,394.11

Value

$1.7K

PnL

+$276.49

Record

50%

564-572 (1136)

0X
0xbFAB152aFA43741b41BE0f355F862be2630cf067-1779364275266
Power Rangers

Invested

$1,592.78

Value

$1.5K

PnL

-$45.85

Record

68%

622-298 (920)

CA
calculate10ARB<$100
Power Rangers

Invested

$5,484.59

Value

$1.5K

PnL

+$721.68

Record

54%

1328-1146 (2474)

Both legs:

Power Rangers$744.5858.3¢+$510.61
Xipto Esports$703.7533.9¢+$211.07
JO
JokerTheClown
Power Rangers

Invested

$1,854.26

Value

$1.5K

PnL

-$402.28

Record

51%

4164-4031 (8195)

PO
PourpelNourpelARB<$100
Power Rangers

Invested

$1,191.87

Value

$1.3K

PnL

+$85.34

Record

53%

667-597 (1264)

Both legs:

Power Rangers$891.3860.1¢-$83.29
Xipto Esports$300.4929.1¢+$168.62
Tolkonevminus2
Power Rangers

Invested

$2,669.27

Value

$801.26

PnL

+$100.18

Record

63%

107-62 (169)

XU
xuxuntao
Power Rangers

Invested

$2,542.44

Value

$775.18

PnL

$-1.1K

Record

61%

116-74 (190)

GO
GooGooGaga1
Power Rangers

Invested

$321.66

Value

$263.26

PnL

-$58.4

Record

77%

68-20 (88)

FE
ferrariChampions2026ARB<$100
Power Rangers

Invested

$227.15

Value

$239.24

PnL

+$12.09

Record

42%

8168-11359 (19527)

Both legs:

Power Rangers$126.1554.1¢+$55.84
Xipto Esports$100.9938.8¢-$43.75
R2
r2d2v2
Power Rangers

Invested

$304.65

Value

$236.96

PnL

-$67.69

Record

54%

303-255 (558)

38
38791873984189ARB<$100
Xipto Esports

Invested

$258.38

Value

$219.8

PnL

-$19.84

Record

48%

62393-67249 (129642)

Both legs:

Power Rangers$112.7853.8¢+$60.63
Xipto Esports$126.3847¢-$80.47
alpheclabs2ARB<$100
Power Rangers

Invested

$102.74

Value

$133.01

PnL

+$30.27

Record

47%

1363-1536 (2899)

Both legs:

Power Rangers$63.343¢+$16.93
Xipto Esports$39.4434¢+$13.34
LR
lryyyCTR<$100
Xipto Esports

Invested

$41.88

Value

$19.97

PnL

-$21.91

Record

47%

9560-10672 (20232)

OM
omnibus-076daa<$100
Power Rangers

Invested

$10.87

Value

$14.55

PnL

+$3.68

Record

50%

21541-21839 (43380)

AM
ameisgoat11<$100
Power Rangers

Invested

$2.7

Value

$2.73

PnL

+$0.02

Record

52%

9014-8167 (17181)

Chat

EV Calculator

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Break-even chance82.3%

80.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.8¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$21.57
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
121.6

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.

Market Info

Condition ID
0xb7709547...2e07bb
Slug
dota2-xe-pr1-2026-11-07-game2
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