
Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner
14 of 17 top Polymarket traders hold Power Rangers (82%) · Power Rangers at 81¢ · $71K held · ends Nov 7
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Research candidate
Power Rangers
17
Power Rangers 82%
7 arb excluded
$71.0K
$1.1K
55.9¢ → 80.5¢
+44% since entry · 14 traders
Research grade
Research candidatePower Rangers at 81%
Matches a rule that looked positive after costs in the short windows of our Oct 22 2026 backtest. The full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found no evidence for any of these rules: out of sample they lost money or were noise. A label for a pattern that once looked good, not an edge and not a recommendation.
- Quality net +3 or moreNot confirmed. Oct 22 backtest: net +3 when the consensus formed made +7.2 % a trade (n 358), with 5 events giving two thirds of it. Full year, out of sample, the closest rule (3+ proven winners, two thirds on the side) lost −1.9 % a trade (n 49,161, 95 % CI −2.6 to −1.1).
- Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.
The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.
Smart Money Signal
14 of 17 top traders (82%)7 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592CTR | Xipto Esportsavg 46.1¢ | $19.0K | $18.8K | -$256.41 | 58% 955-684 (1639) |
![]() Medo3D | Power Rangersavg 46.3¢ | $7.2K | $8.5K | +$1.3K | 41% 182-264 (446) |
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2ARB<$100 | Power Rangersavg 57¢ | $8.6K | $8.1K | -$527.73 | 52% 14650-13313 (27963) |
| └ Power Rangers leg | Power Rangersavg 57¢ | $4.3K | $6.0K | +$1.6K | |
| └ Xipto Esports leg | Xipto Esportsavg 44¢ | $4.2K | $2.1K | $-2.2K | |
SI Sisyphus- | Power Rangersavg 65.9¢ | $8.7K | $7.2K | $-1.5K | 55% 787-646 (1433) |
GE GeorgeRe | Power Rangersavg 56¢ | $4.3K | $6.2K | +$1.8K | 54% 1138-979 (2117) |
RA RandomVibecoder | Power Rangersavg 50.7¢ | $4.1K | $4.5K | +$387.67 | 48% 855-909 (1764) |
![]() Skritopoolniy | Power Rangersavg 49.4¢ | $3.0K | $3.3K | +$307.21 | 47% 637-731 (1368) |
PA panpidaras1ARB<$100 | Xipto Esportsavg 51.2¢ | $2.6K | $2.3K | -$366.73 | 48% 292-319 (611) |
| └ Xipto Esports leg | Xipto Esportsavg 51.2¢ | $1.8K | $1.6K | -$197.49 | |
| └ Power Rangers leg | Power Rangersavg 67.9¢ | $849.86 | $682.39 | -$169.24 | |
![]() maytopmay | Power Rangersavg 69.5¢ | $1.8K | $2.2K | +$357.74 | 61% 311-201 (512) |
0X 0xffAaEFb5f6762Cc70cb575Da8722E8C895E38cEe-1767374935341CTR | Xipto Esportsavg 37¢ | $1.4K | $1.7K | +$276.49 | 50% 564-572 (1136) |
0X 0xbFAB152aFA43741b41BE0f355F862be2630cf067-1779364275266 | Power Rangersavg 56.1¢ | $1.6K | $1.5K | -$45.85 | 68% 622-298 (920) |
CA calculate10ARB<$100 | Power Rangersavg 58.3¢ | $5.5K | $1.5K | +$721.68 | 54% 1328-1146 (2474) |
| └ Power Rangers leg | Power Rangersavg 58.3¢ | $744.58 | $977.65 | +$510.61 | |
| └ Xipto Esports leg | Xipto Esportsavg 33.9¢ | $703.75 | $487.37 | +$211.07 | |
JO JokerTheClown | Power Rangersavg 69.6¢ | $1.9K | $1.5K | -$402.28 | 51% 4164-4031 (8195) |
PO PourpelNourpelARB<$100 | Power Rangersavg 60.1¢ | $1.2K | $1.3K | +$85.34 | 53% 667-597 (1264) |
| └ Power Rangers leg | Power Rangersavg 60.1¢ | $891.38 | $808.09 | -$83.29 | |
| └ Xipto Esports leg | Xipto Esportsavg 29.1¢ | $300.49 | $469.12 | +$168.62 | |
![]() Tolkonevminus2 | Power Rangersavg 45.6¢ | $2.7K | $801.26 | +$100.18 | 63% 107-62 (169) |
XU xuxuntao | Power Rangersavg 71.4¢ | $2.5K | $775.18 | $-1.1K | 61% 116-74 (190) |
GO GooGooGaga1 | Power Rangersavg 66.6¢ | $321.66 | $263.26 | -$58.4 | 77% 68-20 (88) |
FE ferrariChampions2026ARB<$100 | Power Rangersavg 54.1¢ | $227.15 | $239.24 | +$12.09 | 42% 8168-11359 (19527) |
| └ Power Rangers leg | Power Rangersavg 54.1¢ | $126.15 | $181.99 | +$55.84 | |
| └ Xipto Esports leg | Xipto Esportsavg 38.8¢ | $100.99 | $57.25 | -$43.75 | |
R2 r2d2v2 | Power Rangersavg 70.1¢ | $304.65 | $236.96 | -$67.69 | 54% 303-255 (558) |
38 38791873984189ARB<$100 | Xipto Esportsavg 47¢ | $258.38 | $219.8 | -$19.84 | 48% 62393-67249 (129642) |
| └ Power Rangers leg | Power Rangersavg 53.8¢ | $112.78 | $174.07 | +$60.63 | |
| └ Xipto Esports leg | Xipto Esportsavg 47¢ | $126.38 | $45.73 | -$80.47 | |
![]() alpheclabs2ARB<$100 | Power Rangersavg 43¢ | $102.74 | $133.01 | +$30.27 | 47% 1363-1536 (2899) |
| └ Power Rangers leg | Power Rangersavg 43¢ | $63.3 | $80.23 | +$16.93 | |
| └ Xipto Esports leg | Xipto Esportsavg 34¢ | $39.44 | $52.78 | +$13.34 | |
LR lryyyCTR<$100 | Xipto Esportsavg 55.5¢ | $41.88 | $19.97 | -$21.91 | 47% 9560-10672 (20232) |
OM omnibus-076daa<$100 | Power Rangersavg 62¢ | $10.87 | $14.55 | +$3.68 | 50% 21541-21839 (43380) |
AM ameisgoat11<$100 | Power Rangersavg 54¢ | $2.7 | $2.73 | +$0.02 | 52% 9014-8167 (17181) |
Invested
$19,024.2
Value
$18.8K
PnL
-$256.41
Record
58%
955-684 (1639)
Medo3DInvested
$7,223.34
Value
$8.5K
PnL
+$1.3K
Record
41%
182-264 (446)
Invested
$8,586.58
Value
$8.1K
PnL
-$527.73
Record
52%
14650-13313 (27963)
Both legs:
Invested
$8,655.42
Value
$7.2K
PnL
$-1.5K
Record
55%
787-646 (1433)
Invested
$4,308.86
Value
$6.2K
PnL
+$1.8K
Record
54%
1138-979 (2117)
Invested
$4,095.35
Value
$4.5K
PnL
+$387.67
Record
48%
855-909 (1764)
SkritopoolniyInvested
$2,992.34
Value
$3.3K
PnL
+$307.21
Record
47%
637-731 (1368)
Invested
$2,640.04
Value
$2.3K
PnL
-$366.73
Record
48%
292-319 (611)
Both legs:
maytopmayInvested
$1,833.82
Value
$2.2K
PnL
+$357.74
Record
61%
311-201 (512)
Invested
$1,394.11
Value
$1.7K
PnL
+$276.49
Record
50%
564-572 (1136)
Invested
$1,592.78
Value
$1.5K
PnL
-$45.85
Record
68%
622-298 (920)
Invested
$5,484.59
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$721.68
Record
54%
1328-1146 (2474)
Both legs:
Invested
$1,854.26
Value
$1.5K
PnL
-$402.28
Record
51%
4164-4031 (8195)
Invested
$1,191.87
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$85.34
Record
53%
667-597 (1264)
Both legs:
Tolkonevminus2Invested
$2,669.27
Value
$801.26
PnL
+$100.18
Record
63%
107-62 (169)
Invested
$2,542.44
Value
$775.18
PnL
$-1.1K
Record
61%
116-74 (190)
Invested
$321.66
Value
$263.26
PnL
-$58.4
Record
77%
68-20 (88)
Invested
$227.15
Value
$239.24
PnL
+$12.09
Record
42%
8168-11359 (19527)
Both legs:
Invested
$304.65
Value
$236.96
PnL
-$67.69
Record
54%
303-255 (558)
Invested
$258.38
Value
$219.8
PnL
-$19.84
Record
48%
62393-67249 (129642)
Both legs:
alpheclabs2ARB<$100Invested
$102.74
Value
$133.01
PnL
+$30.27
Record
47%
1363-1536 (2899)
Both legs:
Invested
$41.88
Value
$19.97
PnL
-$21.91
Record
47%
9560-10672 (20232)
Invested
$10.87
Value
$14.55
PnL
+$3.68
Record
50%
21541-21839 (43380)
Invested
$2.7
Value
$2.73
PnL
+$0.02
Record
52%
9014-8167 (17181)
Chat
EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
80.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.8¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592
CTRXipto Esports — $18.8K

Medo3D
Power Rangers — $8.5K
0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Sisyphus-
Power Rangers — $7.2K
GeorgeRe
Power Rangers — $6.2K
RandomVibecoder
Power Rangers — $4.5K

Skritopoolniy
Power Rangers — $3.3K
panpidaras1
ARBArbitrage — excluded

maytopmay
Power Rangers — $2.2K
0xffAaEFb5f6762Cc70cb575Da8722E8C895E38cEe-1767374935341
CTRXipto Esports — $1.7K