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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was angry birds — but Xipto Esports won instead.

Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs angry birds (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group A

Resolved Xipto Esports. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held angry birds. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

angry birds 50%

Total Value

$11.7K

Combined PnL

$-2.3K

Smart Money Signal

angry birds

7 of 13 top traders (54%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Xipto Esports100%

angry birds0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Xipto Esports6 traders

Total Value$11.7K

Total Shares11,651

Combined PnL+$5.0K

angry birds7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares18,481

Combined PnL$-7.2K

Xipto Esports — 46%angry birds — 54%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SI Sisyphus-	Xipto Esportsavg 57¢	$5.7K	$10.1K	+$4.3K	57% 552-416 (968)
0X 0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592CTR	angry birdsavg 41.6¢	$5.4K	—	$-5.4K	47% 493-550 (1043)
JU JuiceFarm	Xipto Esportsavg 60¢	$600	$1,000	+$400	58% 75-54 (129)
Tolkonevminus2CTR	angry birdsavg 40.8¢	$1.6K	—	$-1.6K	49% 86-90 (176)
TH thatsabing0	Xipto Esportsavg 64¢	$223.16	$348.69	+$125.53	62% 295-180 (475)
PO PourpelNourpel	Xipto Esportsavg 58¢	$145.1	$250	+$104.9	54% 85-71 (156)
UN UNIVERSEMVPCTR	angry birdsavg 11.1¢	$107.43	—	-$107.43	40% 78-116 (194)
NO NotJumpCTR	angry birdsavg 50¢	$1.0K	—	-$205.04	49% 1261-1304 (2565)
SU suntori<$100	Xipto Esportsavg 66¢	$10.85	$0.01	-$1.15	46% 3434-3964 (7398)
JE jelly2026CTR<$100	angry birdsavg 46.6¢	$51.48	—	+$3.75	54% 109-92 (201)
XU xuxuntaoCTR	angry birdsavg 31.9¢	$100	—	+$15.83	49% 60-63 (123)
AM ameisgoat11<$100	Xipto Esports	—	—	+$0	43% 878-1159 (2037)
NO nomoredreamCTR	angry birdsavg 24.7¢	$273.42	—	+$126.6	46% 81-97 (178)

Invested

$5,728.53

Value

$10.1K

PnL

+$4.3K

Record

57%

552-416 (968)

0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592CTR

Invested

$5,446.28

Value

—

PnL

$-5.4K

Record

47%

493-550 (1043)

Invested

$600

Value

$1,000

PnL

+$400

Record

58%

75-54 (129)

Tolkonevminus2CTR

Invested

$1,602.3

Value

—

PnL

$-1.6K

Record

49%

86-90 (176)

Invested

$223.16

Value

$348.69

PnL

+$125.53

Record

62%

295-180 (475)

Invested

$145.1

Value

$250

PnL

+$104.9

Record

54%

85-71 (156)

Invested

$107.43

Value

—

PnL

-$107.43

Record

40%

78-116 (194)

Invested

$1,024.97

Value

—

PnL

-$205.04

Record

49%

1261-1304 (2565)

Invested

$10.85

Value

$0.01

PnL

-$1.15

Record

46%

3434-3964 (7398)

jelly2026CTR<$100

Invested

$51.48

Value

—

PnL

+$3.75

Record

54%

109-92 (201)

Invested

$100

Value

—

PnL

+$15.83

Record

49%

60-63 (123)

ameisgoat11<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

43%

878-1159 (2037)

Invested

$273.42

Value

—

PnL

+$126.6

Record

46%

81-97 (178)

Smart Money Signal

angry birds

7 of 13 top traders (54%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x9a885712...9cb6e7

Slug

dota2-xe-angryb-2026-11-07

Traders in this Market

Sisyphus-

Xipto Esports — $10.1K

0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592

angry birds — $0

JuiceFarm

Xipto Esports — $1,000

Tolkonevminus2

angry birds — $0

thatsabing0

Xipto Esports — $348.69

PourpelNourpel

Xipto Esports — $250

UNIVERSEMVP

angry birds — $0

NotJump

angry birds — $0

suntori

Xipto Esports — $0.01

jelly2026

angry birds — $0

Trade on Polymarket