Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Red John — but Team Synapse won instead.
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Red John - Game 2 Winner
Resolved Team Synapse. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Red John. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
Red John 43%
$995.14
$-2.0K
Smart Money Signal
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NO NotJump | Team Synapseavg 50¢ | $1.0K | $500.05 | +$215 | 52% 828-769 (1597) |
 poshposh | Team Synapseavg 78.4¢ | $213.31 | $251.49 | +$38.18 | 48% 1130-1207 (2337) |
SU suntori | Team Synapseavg 83.7¢ | $538.65 | $123.6 | +$59.02 | 46% 2679-3158 (5837) |
LR lryyy | Team Synapseavg 85¢ | $105.15 | $120 | +$14.85 | 45% 810-993 (1803) |
 Tolkonevminus3CTR | Red Johnavg 40.1¢ | $2.1K | — | $-2.1K | 59% 39-27 (66) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Red Johnavg 13.6¢ | $195.32 | — | -$13.99 | 48% 3222-3520 (6742) |
SP SpringlyFawlCTR<$100 | Red Johnavg 0.1¢ | $0.35 | — | -$0.35 | 3% 8-287 (295) |
 Tolkonevminus2CTR | Red Johnavg 40.6¢ | $1.7K | — | -$242.7 | 46% 68-79 (147) |
Invested
$1,024.99
Value
$500.05
PnL
+$215
Record
52%
828-769 (1597)
poshposhInvested
$213.31
Value
$251.49
PnL
+$38.18
Record
48%
1130-1207 (2337)
Invested
$538.65
Value
$123.6
PnL
+$59.02
Record
46%
2679-3158 (5837)
Invested
$105.15
Value
$120
PnL
+$14.85
Record
45%
810-993 (1803)
Tolkonevminus3CTRInvested
$2,081.01
Value
—
PnL
$-2.1K
Record
59%
39-27 (66)
Invested
$195.32
Value
—
PnL
-$13.99
Record
48%
3222-3520 (6742)
Invested
$0.35
Value
—
PnL
-$0.35
Record
3%
8-287 (295)
Tolkonevminus2CTRInvested
$1,657.66
Value
—
PnL
-$242.7
Record
46%
68-79 (147)