Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Red John β but Team Synapse won instead.

Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Red John - Game 1 Winner
Resolved Team Synapse. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Red John. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
7
Red John 50%
$93.73
-$95.6
Smart Money Signal
3 of 7 top traders (43%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LR lryyy<$100 | Team Synapseavg 64.3Β’ | $37.54 | $54.64 | +$17.1 | 45% 805-991 (1796) |
SH shiifoo<$100 | Team Synapseavg 71.6Β’ | $17.5 | $24.44 | +$6.94 | 61% 1424-905 (2329) |
![]() poshposh<$100 | Team Synapseavg 68Β’ | $13.2 | $14.64 | +$1.44 | 49% 1117-1185 (2302) |
MR MrConsistencyCTR<$100 | Red Johnavg 8.8Β’ | $44.56 | β | -$44.56 | 35% 27-50 (77) |
NO NotJumpCTR | Red Johnavg 41.7Β’ | $578.82 | β | -$111.33 | 52% 820-759 (1579) |
![]() CyberScore.liveCTR<$100 | Red Johnavg 21.3Β’ | $39.03 | β | -$39.03 | 52% 35-32 (67) |
XU xuxuntao | Team Synapseavg 93Β’ | $1,000 | $0.01 | +$73.83 | 45% 48-59 (107) |
Invested
$37.54
Value
$54.64
PnL
+$17.1
Record
45%
805-991 (1796)
Invested
$17.5
Value
$24.44
PnL
+$6.94
Record
61%
1424-905 (2329)
poshposh<$100Invested
$13.2
Value
$14.64
PnL
+$1.44
Record
49%
1117-1185 (2302)
Invested
$44.56
Value
β
PnL
-$44.56
Record
35%
27-50 (77)
Invested
$578.82
Value
β
PnL
-$111.33
Record
52%
820-759 (1579)
CyberScore.liveCTR<$100Invested
$39.03
Value
β
PnL
-$39.03
Record
52%
35-32 (67)
Invested
$1,000
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$73.83
Record
45%
48-59 (107)