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Consensus Lost βœ—

Smart money consensus was Red John β€” but Team Synapse won instead.

Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Red John - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Team Synapse. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Red John. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

πŸ’€

Lost

Consensus Traders

7

Red John 50%

Total Value

$93.73

Combined PnL

-$95.6

Smart Money Signal

Red John

3 of 7 top traders (43%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Team Synapse100%
Red John0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Team Synapse4 traders
Total Value$93.73
Total Shares94
Combined PnL+$99.32
Red John3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,169
Combined PnL-$194.92
Team Synapse β€” 57%Red John β€” 43%

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x87c336ce...5bf4f3
Slug
dota2-synaps-redjoh-2026-11-14-game1
Trade on Polymarket