Dota 2: Team Synapse vs InterActive Philippines - Game 1 Winner

8 of 12 top Polymarket traders hold Team Synapse (67%) · Team Synapse at 100¢ · $23K held · ends Nov 15

Team Synapse>99¢InterActive Philippines<1¢Ends Sun, Nov 15, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Team Synapse

Consensus Traders

Team Synapse 67%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$22.5K

Combined PnL

$3.7K

Smart Money Entry

69.3¢ → 100¢

+44% since entry · 8 traders

Research grade

NeutralTeam Synapse at 100%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Team Synapse

8 of 12 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Team Synapse100%

InterActive Philippines0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Team Synapse8 traders

Total Value$21.0K

Total Shares24,234

Combined PnL+$3.9K

InterActive Philippines4 traders

Total Value$991.5

Total Shares3,246

Combined PnL-$245.22

Team Synapse — 67%InterActive Philippines — 33%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592	Team Synapseavg 63.5¢	$7.2K	$11.3K	+$4.1K	47% 483-548 (1031)
handandfacetatto	Team Synapseavg 99.9¢	$5.9K	$6.0K	+$2.98	98% 112-2 (114)
CyberScore.live	Team Synapseavg 52¢	$2.5K	$2.2K	-$288.45	54% 44-37 (81)
SU suntoriCTR	InterActive Philippinesavg 42.1¢	$728.93	$675.46	-$53.47	46% 3282-3819 (7101)
NO NotJump	Team Synapseavg 50¢	$833.58	$658.58	+$8.2	50% 1136-1139 (2275)
Medo3D	Team Synapseavg 52.3¢	$503.38	$549.07	+$45.69	12% 36-262 (298)
0X 0xc5d909a16130A0A0b61Af3dB09a89e108093b188-1780593472190ARB<$100	Team Synapseavg 64¢	$520	$519.72	-$0.28	65% 36-19 (55)
└ Team Synapse leg	Team Synapseavg 64¢	$320	$322.5	+$2.5
└ InterActive Philippines leg	InterActive Philippinesavg 36¢	$200	$197.22	-$2.78
alpheclabs2CTR	InterActive Philippinesavg 26.1¢	$221.14	$279.89	+$58.75	45% 369-454 (823)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2	Team Synapseavg 65.1¢	$211.83	$244.15	+$32.32	56% 4169-3265 (7434)
LR lryyy<$100	Team Synapseavg 78.8¢	$86.72	$67.27	-$19.45	45% 984-1181 (2165)
poshposhCTR<$100	InterActive Philippinesavg 24.7¢	$63.75	$35.88	-$27.87	49% 1336-1411 (2747)
XU xuxuntao<$100	Team Synapseavg 64.5¢	$6.46	$4.6	-$1.85	47% 55-62 (117)
MR MrConsistencyCTR	InterActive Philippinesavg 42.2¢	$222.9	$0.26	-$222.63	36% 38-68 (106)

0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592

Team Synapse

Invested

$7,213.51

Value

$11.3K

PnL

+$4.1K

Record

47%

483-548 (1031)

handandfacetatto

Team Synapse

Invested

$5,949.69

Value

$6.0K

PnL

+$2.98

Record

98%

112-2 (114)

CyberScore.live

Team Synapse

Invested

$2,499.94

Value

$2.2K

PnL

-$288.45

Record

54%

44-37 (81)

suntoriCTR

InterActive Philippines

Invested

$728.93

Value

$675.46

PnL

-$53.47

Record

46%

3282-3819 (7101)

NotJump

Team Synapse

Invested

$833.58

Value

$658.58

PnL

+$8.2

Record

50%

1136-1139 (2275)

Medo3D

Team Synapse

Invested

$503.38

Value

$549.07

PnL

+$45.69

Record

12%

36-262 (298)

0xc5d909a16130A0A0b61Af3dB09a89e108093b188-1780593472190ARB<$100

Team Synapse

Invested

$520

Value

$519.72

PnL

-$0.28

Record

65%

36-19 (55)

Both legs:

Team Synapse$32064¢+$2.5

InterActive Philippines$20036¢-$2.78

alpheclabs2CTR

InterActive Philippines

Invested

$221.14

Value

$279.89

PnL

+$58.75

Record

45%

369-454 (823)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2

Team Synapse

Invested

$211.83

Value

$244.15

PnL

+$32.32

Record

56%

4169-3265 (7434)

lryyy<$100

Team Synapse

Invested

$86.72

Value

$67.27

PnL

-$19.45

Record

45%

984-1181 (2165)

poshposhCTR<$100

InterActive Philippines

Invested

$63.75

Value

$35.88

PnL

-$27.87

Record

49%

1336-1411 (2747)

xuxuntao<$100

Team Synapse

Invested

$6.46

Value

$4.6

PnL

-$1.85

Record

47%

55-62 (117)

MrConsistencyCTR

InterActive Philippines

Invested

$222.9

Value

$0.26

PnL

-$222.63

Record

36%

38-68 (106)

Research grade

NeutralTeam Synapse at 100%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

Smart Money Signal

Team Synapse

8 of 12 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Team Synapse wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.