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Zero TenacitySpirit AcademyZero Tenacity
poshposhCTR<$100Zero TenacitySpirit Academy
Tolkonevminus2Spirit Academy
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Zero Tenacity — but Spirit Academy won instead.
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner
Resolved Spirit Academy. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Zero Tenacity. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Zero Tenacity 100%
Total Value
$0.88
Combined PnL
-$60.62
Smart Money Signal
Zero Tenacity
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Spirit Academy100%
Zero Tenacity0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Zero Tenacity3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,066
Combined PnL-$74.56
Spirit Academy3 traders
Total Value$0.88
Total Shares1
Combined PnL+$13.95
Zero Tenacity — 50%Spirit Academy — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MR MrConsistencyCTR<$100 | Zero Tenacityavg 5.8¢ | $54.61 | — | -$54.61 | 33% 24-48 (72) |
38 38791873984189<$100 | Spirit Academyavg 55¢ | $0.46 | $0.83 | +$0.37 | 48% 3205-3505 (6710) |
LR lryyyCTR<$100 | Zero Tenacityavg 26.9¢ | $10.06 | — | -$10.06 | 45% 801-984 (1785) |
poshposhCTR<$100 | Zero Tenacityavg 10.7¢ | $9.9 | — | -$9.9 | 48% 1104-1175 (2279) |
NO NotJump | Spirit Academyavg 50¢ | $525 | $0.05 | -$0 | 52% 815-747 (1562) |
Tolkonevminus2 | Spirit Academyavg 97.9¢ | $673.4 | — | +$13.57 | 46% 64-76 (140) |
MR
MrConsistencyCTR<$100Invested
$54.61
Value
—
PnL
-$54.61
Record
33%
24-48 (72)
38
38791873984189<$100Invested
$0.46
Value
$0.83
PnL
+$0.37
Record
48%
3205-3505 (6710)
LR
lryyyCTR<$100Invested
$10.06
Value
—
PnL
-$10.06
Record
45%
801-984 (1785)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$9.9
Value
—
PnL
-$9.9
Record
48%
1104-1175 (2279)
NO
NotJumpInvested
$525
Value
$0.05
PnL
-$0
Record
52%
815-747 (1562)
Tolkonevminus2Invested
$673.4
Value
—
PnL
+$13.57
Record
46%
64-76 (140)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1ecc55c6...d07fb9
Slug
dota2-spirit1-z10-2026-11-14-game2