Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Zero Tenacity — but Spirit Academy won instead.

Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner

Resolved Spirit Academy. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Zero Tenacity. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Zero Tenacity 67%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$105.12

Combined PnL

$351.61

Zero Tenacity

3 of 7 top traders (43%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Spirit Academy100%

Zero Tenacity0%

Spirit Academy4 traders

Total Value$32.02

Total Shares32

Combined PnL+$366.23

Zero Tenacity3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares87

Combined PnL-$14.62

Spirit Academy — 57%Zero Tenacity — 43%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
RA RandomVibecoderARB<$100	Zero Tenacityavg 21.4¢	$164.79	$73.1	-$91.69	48% 534-582 (1116)
└ Zero Tenacity leg	Zero Tenacityavg 21.4¢	$111.75	—	-$111.75
└ Spirit Academy leg	Spirit Academyavg 72.6¢	$53.05	$73.1	+$20.06
LR lryyy<$100	Spirit Academyavg 68.1¢	$22.16	$32	+$9.84	45% 797-979 (1776)
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100	Zero Tenacityavg 16.8¢	$12.19	—	-$12.19	46% 483-572 (1055)
38 38791873984189CTR<$100	Zero Tenacityavg 17¢	$2.38	—	-$2.38	48% 3199-3501 (6700)
NO NotJumpCTR	Zero Tenacityavg 50¢	$525	—	-$0.05	52% 812-742 (1554)
UN UNIVERSEMVP	Spirit Academyavg 82.8¢	$1.6K	$0.01	+$299	36% 58-105 (163)
JE jelly2026<$100	Spirit Academyavg 70.6¢	$63.71	$0.01	+$9.52	55% 86-70 (156)
Tolkonevminus2	Spirit Academyavg 98.4¢	$3.2K	—	+$47.87	45% 63-76 (139)