Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Ka4kanarskie cyxariki - Game 2 Winner

9 of 13 top Polymarket traders hold Power Rangers (69%) · Power Rangers at 71¢ · $49K held · ends Nov 9

Power Rangers71¢Ka4kanarskie cyxariki29¢Ends Mon, Nov 9, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Power Rangers

Consensus Traders

Power Rangers 69%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$49.0K

Combined PnL

$-1.6K

Smart Money Entry

51.6¢ → 71¢

+37% since entry · 9 traders

Research grade

NeutralPower Rangers at 71%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Power Rangers

9 of 13 top traders (69%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Power Rangers71%

Ka4kanarskie cyxariki29%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Power Rangers9 traders

Total Value$24.7K

Total Shares44,488

Combined PnL+$1.1K

Ka4kanarskie cyxariki4 traders

Total Value$13.8K

Total Shares31,387

Combined PnL$-2.7K

Power Rangers — 69%Ka4kanarskie cyxariki — 31%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
RA RandomVibecoderARB<$100	Power Rangersavg 46.9¢	$8.7K	$9.6K	+$953.51	48% 896-960 (1856)
└ Power Rangers leg	Power Rangersavg 46.9¢	$4.4K	$6.8K	+$2.3K
└ Ka4kanarskie cyxariki leg	Ka4kanarskie cyxarikiavg 42¢	$4.3K	$2.9K	$-1.4K
SI Sisyphus-	Power Rangersavg 53.7¢	$7.6K	$8.1K	+$465.62	55% 854-709 (1563)
0X 0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592	Power Rangersavg 52.6¢	$7.2K	$8.0K	+$797.16	59% 1043-732 (1775)
0X 0xffAaEFb5f6762Cc70cb575Da8722E8C895E38cEe-1767374935341CTR	Ka4kanarskie cyxarikiavg 54.5¢	$5.5K	$5.8K	+$297.52	50% 587-598 (1185)
Skritopoolniy	Power Rangersavg 44.5¢	$4.7K	$4.5K	-$208.9	46% 683-807 (1490)
UN UNIVERSEMVPCTR	Ka4kanarskie cyxarikiavg 51.9¢	$5.1K	$4.3K	-$722.08	64% 137-77 (214)
JE jelly2026CTR	Ka4kanarskie cyxarikiavg 50.5¢	$6.7K	$2.7K	$-2.2K	—
BI BillBenter2026	Power Rangersavg 56.4¢	$1.9K	$2.0K	+$51.55	57% 20335-15129 (35464)
0X 0xbFAB152aFA43741b41BE0f355F862be2630cf067-1779364275266	Power Rangersavg 58.7¢	$1.0K	$1.0K	+$13.95	67% 644-313 (957)
cs2.quantCTR	Ka4kanarskie cyxarikiavg 46¢	$1.0K	$993.97	-$33.64	57% 118-89 (207)
TO TommyLeePeecaARB<$100	Ka4kanarskie cyxarikiavg 46.9¢	$601	$607.94	+$6.94	54% 1348-1159 (2507)
└ Power Rangers leg	Power Rangersavg 50.3¢	$298.2	$423.84	+$125.64
└ Ka4kanarskie cyxariki leg	Ka4kanarskie cyxarikiavg 46.9¢	$302.8	$184.1	-$118.7
0X 0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554	Power Rangersavg 58¢	$509.78	$487.57	-$22.21	55% 3939-3278 (7217)
maytopmay	Power Rangersavg 57.2¢	$403.33	$387.58	-$15.75	59% 340-232 (572)
PO PourpelNourpel	Power Rangersavg 53.3¢	$308.74	$275.33	-$33.42	51% 714-676 (1390)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighARB<$100	Ka4kanarskie cyxarikiavg 45.5¢	$232.28	$231.04	-$1.24	47% 2303-2604 (4907)
└ Power Rangers leg	Power Rangersavg 51.4¢	$106.41	$135.61	+$29.2
└ Ka4kanarskie cyxariki leg	Ka4kanarskie cyxarikiavg 45.5¢	$125.87	$95.43	-$30.44
LR lryyy<$100	Power Rangersavg 46.3¢	$59.44	$64.71	+$5.27	48% 40356-43309 (83665)

RandomVibecoderARB<$100

Power Rangers

Invested

$8,688.1

Value

$9.6K

PnL

+$953.51

Record

48%

896-960 (1856)

Both legs:

Power Rangers$4,434.8146.9¢+$2.3K

Ka4kanarskie cyxariki$4,253.2942¢$-1.4K

Sisyphus-

Power Rangers

Invested

$7,635.44

Value

$8.1K

PnL

+$465.62

Record

55%

854-709 (1563)

0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592

Power Rangers

Invested

$7,167.93

Value

$8.0K

PnL

+$797.16

Record

59%

1043-732 (1775)

0xffAaEFb5f6762Cc70cb575Da8722E8C895E38cEe-1767374935341CTR

Ka4kanarskie cyxariki

Invested

$5,510.23

Value

$5.8K

PnL

+$297.52

Record

50%

587-598 (1185)

Skritopoolniy

Power Rangers

Invested

$4,685.21

Value

$4.5K

PnL

-$208.9

Record

46%

683-807 (1490)

UNIVERSEMVPCTR

Ka4kanarskie cyxariki

Invested

$5,087.32

Value

$4.3K

PnL

-$722.08

Record

64%

137-77 (214)

jelly2026CTR

Ka4kanarskie cyxariki

Invested

$6,683.17

Value

$2.7K

PnL

$-2.2K

Record

—

BillBenter2026

Power Rangers

Invested

$1,905.43

Value

$2.0K

PnL

+$51.55

Record

57%

20335-15129 (35464)

0xbFAB152aFA43741b41BE0f355F862be2630cf067-1779364275266

Power Rangers

Invested

$1,021.26

Value

$1.0K

PnL

+$13.95

Record

67%

644-313 (957)

cs2.quantCTR

Ka4kanarskie cyxariki

Invested

$1,027.62

Value

$993.97

PnL

-$33.64

Record

57%

118-89 (207)

TommyLeePeecaARB<$100

Ka4kanarskie cyxariki

Invested

$601

Value

$607.94

PnL

+$6.94

Record

54%

1348-1159 (2507)

Both legs:

Power Rangers$298.250.3¢+$125.64

Ka4kanarskie cyxariki$302.846.9¢-$118.7

0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554

Power Rangers

Invested

$509.78

Value

$487.57

PnL

-$22.21

Record

55%

3939-3278 (7217)

maytopmay

Power Rangers

Invested

$403.33

Value

$387.58

PnL

-$15.75

Record

59%

340-232 (572)

PourpelNourpel

Power Rangers

Invested

$308.74

Value

$275.33

PnL

-$33.42

Record

51%

714-676 (1390)

keeptheblueflagflyinghighARB<$100

Ka4kanarskie cyxariki

Invested

$232.28

Value

$231.04

PnL

-$1.24

Record

47%

2303-2604 (4907)

Both legs:

Power Rangers$106.4151.4¢+$29.2

Ka4kanarskie cyxariki$125.8745.5¢-$30.44

lryyy<$100

Power Rangers

Invested

$59.44

Value

$64.71

PnL

+$5.27

Record

48%

40356-43309 (83665)

Research grade

NeutralPower Rangers at 71%

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

Power Rangers

9 of 13 top traders (69%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Power Rangers wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance73.0%

71.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$36.97

Max Loss

-$100.00

137.0

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.