Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner

22 of 37 top Polymarket traders hold PARIVISION (59%) · PARIVISION at 100¢ · $126K held · ends Oct 25

PARIVISION>99¢BetBoom Team<1¢Ends Sun, Oct 25, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

PARIVISION

Consensus Traders

PARIVISION 59%

Total Value

$125.8K

Combined PnL

$2.1K

Smart Money Entry

88.3¢ → 100¢

+13% since entry · 22 traders

Research grade

NeutralPARIVISION at 100%

No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).

Side priced over 95¢0.90–0.99 was −0.2 % a trade (n 4,210); above 95¢ little is left to win and the backtests' bands stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Quality net +3 or moreNet +3 when the consensus formed: +7.2 % a trade pooled (n 214 + 144, 95 % CI +0.9 to +13.6), +5.7 % at a 2¢ half-spread. Fragile: the 5 best events give 66–75 % of the profit.

Backtest of Oct 22 2026: one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees. The grade never goes above “Research candidate”: no rule passed the multiple-testing check. It is not a forecast and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

PARIVISION

22 of 37 top traders (59%)15 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

PARIVISION100%

BetBoom Team0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

PARIVISION22 traders

Total Value$106.3K

Total Shares117,608

Combined PnL+$3.2K

BetBoom Team15 traders

Total Value$19.5K

Total Shares152,223

Combined PnL$-1.1K

PARIVISION — 59%BetBoom Team — 41%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
Sunshine.Smile	PARIVISIONavg 89.9¢	$32.8K	$33.9K	+$1.1K	58% 1640-1196 (2836)
SI Sisyphus-	PARIVISIONavg 85.3¢	$22.3K	$23.2K	+$831.29	55% 575-468 (1043)
YA yadens	PARIVISIONavg 88.9¢	$11.7K	$11.2K	-$451.63	70% 130-57 (187)
PI pipipi150	PARIVISIONavg 97.3¢	$7.4K	$7.2K	+$205.77	64% 1482-840 (2322)
CyberScore.liveCTR	BetBoom Teamavg 16¢	$5.9K	$6.4K	+$552.87	45% 335-409 (744)
GE GeorgeRe	PARIVISIONavg 84¢	$10.3K	$6.1K	+$1.9K	53% 1007-877 (1884)
Medo3DCTR	BetBoom Teamavg 12.3¢	$7.1K	$5.8K	$-1.3K	38% 143-231 (374)
99 999999666544332578855667788	PARIVISIONavg 83¢	$3.1K	$3.0K	-$92.5	56% 580-447 (1027)
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080	PARIVISIONavg 89.8¢	$2.7K	$2.8K	+$20.1	51% 998-954 (1952)
SkritopoolniyCTR	BetBoom Teamavg 12¢	$3.1K	$2.7K	-$377.58	51% 549-527 (1076)
maytopmay	PARIVISIONavg 89.9¢	$2.6K	$2.5K	-$39.01	61% 258-167 (425)
0X 0x5b100dBef7Ec223ACF02717598789Ef90b679659-1770806179314	PARIVISIONavg 89¢	$2.5K	$2.5K	-$13.99	60% 1618-1070 (2688)
EX Excentrico	PARIVISIONavg 85¢	$2.2K	$2.2K	-$13.07	64% 277-159 (436)
GX gxxyy	PARIVISIONavg 82.9¢	$2.2K	$2.2K	+$19.45	69% 431-190 (621)
Up0nly	PARIVISIONavg 88.7¢	$2.3K	$2.1K	-$187.04	68% 915-429 (1344)
30 0x309c...e6fb	PARIVISIONavg 84¢	$2.1K	$2.0K	-$87.5	91% 75-7 (82)
NO NoprajskCTR	BetBoom Teamavg 17¢	$1.9K	$2.0K	+$60.07	45% 20-24 (44)
BA babyboy9	PARIVISIONavg 88.5¢	$1.5K	$1.5K	-$34.38	55% 319-265 (584)
JA Jameslyy	PARIVISIONavg 87.6¢	$1.4K	$1.3K	-$82.77	66% 668-339 (1007)
0X 0x8B4bcA1D794779E66e023D44391B2A86C5ab541B-1769764313952	PARIVISIONavg 98¢	$881.87	$885.15	+$3.28	84% 514-99 (613)
PO pol2131	PARIVISIONavg 81¢	$809.99	$869.99	+$60	45% 339-422 (761)
TokennCTR	BetBoom Teamavg 15¢	$750	$775	+$25	48% 615-676 (1291)
DE depresssin	PARIVISIONavg 99.9¢	$621.38	$621.69	+$0.31	84% 1167-224 (1391)
RA RandomVibecoderCTR	BetBoom Teamavg 11.4¢	$493.92	$411.02	-$82.9	47% 645-721 (1366)
0xheavy888CTR	BetBoom Teamavg 13.9¢	$363.64	$378.63	+$14.99	56% 6385-5115 (11500)

Sunshine.Smile

PARIVISION

Invested

$32,829.7

Value

$33.9K

PnL

+$1.1K

Record

58%

1640-1196 (2836)

Sisyphus-

PARIVISION

Invested

$22,349.61

Value

$23.2K

PnL

+$831.29

Record

55%

575-468 (1043)

yadens

PARIVISION

Invested

$11,672.84

Value

$11.2K

PnL

-$451.63

Record

70%

130-57 (187)

pipipi150

PARIVISION

Invested

$7,403.32

Value

$7.2K

PnL

+$205.77

Record

64%

1482-840 (2322)

CyberScore.liveCTR

BetBoom Team

Invested

$5,892.23

Value

$6.4K

PnL

+$552.87

Record

45%

335-409 (744)

GeorgeRe

PARIVISION

Invested

$10,266.48

Value

$6.1K

PnL

+$1.9K

Record

53%

1007-877 (1884)

Medo3DCTR

BetBoom Team

Invested

$7,062.02

Value

$5.8K

PnL

$-1.3K

Record

38%

143-231 (374)

999999666544332578855667788

PARIVISION

Invested

$3,071

Value

$3.0K

PnL

-$92.5

Record

56%

580-447 (1027)

0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080

PARIVISION

Invested

$2,730

Value

$2.8K

PnL

+$20.1

Record

51%

998-954 (1952)

SkritopoolniyCTR

BetBoom Team

Invested

$3,065.87

Value

$2.7K

PnL

-$377.58

Record

51%

549-527 (1076)

maytopmay

PARIVISION

Invested

$2,568.6

Value

$2.5K

PnL

-$39.01

Record

61%

258-167 (425)

0x5b100dBef7Ec223ACF02717598789Ef90b679659-1770806179314

PARIVISION

Invested

$2,489.42

Value

$2.5K

PnL

-$13.99

Record

60%

1618-1070 (2688)

Excentrico

PARIVISION

Invested

$2,222

Value

$2.2K

PnL

-$13.07

Record

64%

277-159 (436)

gxxyy

PARIVISION

Invested

$2,151.7

Value

$2.2K

PnL

+$19.45

Record

69%

431-190 (621)

Up0nly

PARIVISION

Invested

$2,308.33

Value

$2.1K

PnL

-$187.04

Record

68%

915-429 (1344)

0x309c...e6fb

PARIVISION

Invested

$2,100

Value

$2.0K

PnL

-$87.5

Record

91%

75-7 (82)

NoprajskCTR

BetBoom Team

Invested

$1,900.61

Value

$2.0K

PnL

+$60.07

Record

45%

20-24 (44)

babyboy9

PARIVISION

Invested

$1,500

Value

$1.5K

PnL

-$34.38

Record

55%

319-265 (584)

Jameslyy

PARIVISION

Invested

$1,410.34

Value

$1.3K

PnL

-$82.77

Record

66%

668-339 (1007)

0x8B4bcA1D794779E66e023D44391B2A86C5ab541B-1769764313952

PARIVISION

Invested

$881.87

Value

$885.15

PnL

+$3.28

Record

84%

514-99 (613)

pol2131

PARIVISION

Invested

$809.99

Value

$869.99

PnL

+$60

Record

45%

339-422 (761)

TokennCTR

BetBoom Team

Invested

$750

Value

$775

PnL

+$25

Record

48%

615-676 (1291)

depresssin

PARIVISION

Invested

$621.38

Value

$621.69

PnL

+$0.31

Record

84%

1167-224 (1391)

RandomVibecoderCTR

BetBoom Team

Invested

$493.92

Value

$411.02

PnL

-$82.9

Record

47%

645-721 (1366)

0xheavy888CTR

BetBoom Team

Invested

$363.64

Value

$378.63

PnL

+$14.99

Record

56%

6385-5115 (11500)

Research grade

NeutralPARIVISION at 100%

No measured edge either way. The plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −4.8 % a trade after costs (n 10,051, 95 % CI −6.5 to −3.1 %).

Side priced over 95¢0.90–0.99 was −0.2 % a trade (n 4,210); above 95¢ little is left to win and the backtests' bands stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Quality net +3 or moreNet +3 when the consensus formed: +7.2 % a trade pooled (n 214 + 144, 95 % CI +0.9 to +13.6), +5.7 % at a 2¢ half-spread. Fragile: the 5 best events give 66–75 % of the profit.

Smart Money Signal

PARIVISION

22 of 37 top traders (59%)15 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that PARIVISION wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.