Dota 2: potn9ki vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner

4 of 7 top Polymarket traders hold Power Rangers (57%) · Power Rangers at 94¢ · $7K held · ends Nov 12

potn9ki6¢Power Rangers94¢Ends Thu, Nov 12, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Power Rangers

Consensus Traders

Power Rangers 57%

Total Value

$7.4K

Combined PnL

$266.66

Smart Money Entry

72.8¢ → 93.8¢

+29% since entry · 4 traders

Research grade

NeutralPower Rangers at 94%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Power Rangers

4 of 7 top traders (57%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

potn9ki6%

Power Rangers94%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Power Rangers4 traders

Total Value$7.0K

Total Shares7,417

Combined PnL+$1.4K

potn9ki3 traders

Total Value$360.88

Total Shares5,742

Combined PnL$-1.2K

Power Rangers — 57%potn9ki — 43%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

3 traders

Top 2 hold 94%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

50% of non-arb traders are on Power Rangers. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 94% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

ctrpotn9ki 75% · 4

Diverging

Top 1000Power Rangers 50% · 6

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SI Sisyphus-	Power Rangersavg 73.7¢	$3.1K	$3.9K	+$832.08	57% 523-401 (924)
0X 0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592	Power Rangersavg 70.8¢	$1.9K	$2.5K	+$605.36	47% 443-506 (949)
PO PourpelNourpel	Power Rangersavg 73.6¢	$304.15	$384.41	+$80.26	52% 41-38 (79)
RA RandomVibecoderCTR	potn9kiavg 25.9¢	$1.3K	$318.02	$-1.0K	48% 505-549 (1054)
CA calculate10	Power Rangersavg 78.1¢	$517.92	$254.42	-$81	24% 34-105 (139)
MA madar78CTR	potn9kiavg 33¢	$200	$42.42	-$157.58	38% 26-43 (69)
LR lryyyCTR<$100	potn9kiavg 20.8¢	$1.29	$0.43	-$0.86	45% 240-290 (530)

Sisyphus-

Power Rangers

Invested

$3,059.54

Value

$3.9K

PnL

+$832.08

Record

57%

523-401 (924)

0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592

Power Rangers

Invested

$1,861.56

Value

$2.5K

PnL

+$605.36

Record

47%

443-506 (949)

PourpelNourpel

Power Rangers

Invested

$304.15

Value

$384.41

PnL

+$80.26

Record

52%

41-38 (79)

RandomVibecoderCTR

potn9ki

Invested

$1,329.62

Value

$318.02

PnL

$-1.0K

Record

48%

505-549 (1054)

calculate10

Power Rangers

Invested

$517.92

Value

$254.42

PnL

-$81

Record

24%

34-105 (139)

madar78CTR

potn9ki

Invested

$200

Value

$42.42

PnL

-$157.58

Record

38%

26-43 (69)

lryyyCTR<$100

potn9ki

Invested

$1.29

Value

$0.43

PnL

-$0.86

Record

45%

240-290 (530)

Research grade

NeutralPower Rangers at 94%

Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

Power Rangers

4 of 7 top traders (57%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

3 traders

Top 2 hold 94%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

50% of non-arb traders are on Power Rangers. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 94% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

ctrpotn9ki 75% · 4

Diverging

Top 1000Power Rangers 50% · 6

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Power Rangers wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance95.1%

93.8¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$5.16

Max Loss

-$100.00

105.2

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.