Dota 2: potn9ki vs Power Rangers (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A
4 of 6 top Polymarket traders hold Power Rangers (67%) · Power Rangers at 100¢ · $3K held · ends Nov 12
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Neutral
Power Rangers
6
Power Rangers 67%
$2.6K
$42.2
93.7¢ → 100¢
+7% since entry · 4 traders
Research grade
NeutralPower Rangers at 100%
No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).
- Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.
Smart Money Signal
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Signal Intelligence
Momentum
Surging
+7 pts consensus
Breadth
4 traders
Top 2 hold 91%
Freshness
Fresh
1h old
Flip Quality
Clean
0 consensus flips
67% of non-arb traders are on Power Rangers. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 91% of that side's value.
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 handandfacetatto | Power Rangersavg 99.9¢ | $1.6K | $1.6K | +$1.34 | 100% 74-0 (74) |
AM ameisgoat11 | Power Rangersavg 83.7¢ | $670.26 | $741.77 | +$71.51 | 33% 317-631 (948) |
CA calculate10 | Power Rangersavg 85.7¢ | $502.39 | $198.71 | -$25.5 | 26% 37-107 (144) |
JU JuiceFarm<$100 | Power Rangersavg 72¢ | $26.17 | $36.31 | +$10.14 | 63% 19-11 (30) |
OD OddstormCTR<$100 | potn9kiavg 27.5¢ | $15.37 | $0.39 | -$14.98 | 23% 36-120 (156) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | potn9kiavg 0.7¢ | $0.35 | $0.03 | -$0.32 | 53% 5779-5161 (10940) |
handandfacetattoInvested
$1,593.28
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$1.34
Record
100%
74-0 (74)
Invested
$670.26
Value
$741.77
PnL
+$71.51
Record
33%
317-631 (948)
Invested
$502.39
Value
$198.71
PnL
-$25.5
Record
26%
37-107 (144)
Invested
$26.17
Value
$36.31
PnL
+$10.14
Record
63%
19-11 (30)
Invested
$15.37
Value
$0.39
PnL
-$14.98
Record
23%
36-120 (156)
Invested
$0.35
Value
$0.03
PnL
-$0.32
Record
53%
5779-5161 (10940)
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.