Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Power Rangers (BO1) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A

14 of 23 top Polymarket traders hold Nemiga Gaming (61%) · Nemiga Gaming at 74¢ · $27K held · ends Nov 12

Nemiga Gaming74¢Power Rangers26¢Ends Thu, Nov 12, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Nemiga Gaming

Consensus Traders

Nemiga Gaming 61%

5 arb excluded

Total Value

$27.5K

Combined PnL

$4.7K

Smart Money Entry

51.1¢ → 73.5¢

+44% since entry · 14 traders

Research grade

NeutralNemiga Gaming at 74%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Nemiga Gaming

14 of 23 top traders (61%)5 arbitrage traders dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Nemiga Gaming74%

Power Rangers27%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Nemiga Gaming14 traders

Total Value$22.6K

Total Shares28,584

Combined PnL+$7.7K

Power Rangers9 traders

Total Value$1.9K

Total Shares10,478

Combined PnL$-3.0K

Nemiga Gaming — 61%Power Rangers — 39%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

12 traders

Top 2 hold 59%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationBalanced

55% of non-arb traders are on Nemiga Gaming. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 59% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

sharpPower Rangers 100% · 1

Diverging

ctrPower Rangers 70% · 10

Diverging

Top 1000Nemiga Gaming 55% · 22

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592	Nemiga Gamingavg 52.3¢	$5.1K	$7.2K	+$2.1K	46% 448-518 (966)
SI Sisyphus-	Nemiga Gamingavg 51.1¢	$4.0K	$6.8K	+$2.8K	57% 530-402 (932)
DO DotaBotReborn	Nemiga Gamingavg 43.3¢	$2.9K	$5.0K	+$2.0K	64% 35-20 (55)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2ARB<$100	Nemiga Gamingavg 71.8¢	$1.3K	$1.2K	-$28.67	56% 3895-3063 (6958)
└ Nemiga Gaming leg	Nemiga Gamingavg 71.8¢	$934.19	$968.74	+$34.55
└ Power Rangers leg	Power Rangersavg 31.4¢	$334.6	$271.37	-$63.23
65 6512395314597884ARB<$100	Nemiga Gamingavg 78.8¢	$1.1K	$1.0K	-$49.65	50% 3536-3500 (7036)
└ Nemiga Gaming leg	Nemiga Gamingavg 78.8¢	$843.6	$808.04	-$35.55
└ Power Rangers leg	Power Rangersavg 26.2¢	$222.71	$208.62	-$14.1
RA RandomVibecoder	Nemiga Gamingavg 58.2¢	$569.63	$809.87	+$240.23	48% 510-560 (1070)
0X 0xffAaEFb5f6762Cc70cb575Da8722E8C895E38cEe-1767374935341CTR	Power Rangersavg 51¢	$2.3K	$731.38	$-1.6K	14% 32-193 (225)
NO NotJump	Nemiga Gamingavg 56.9¢	$908.74	$643.46	-$15.26	54% 428-364 (792)
0X 0xc5d909a16130A0A0b61Af3dB09a89e108093b188-1780593472190CTR	Power Rangersavg 51.1¢	$1.6K	$512	$-1.1K	56% 18-14 (32)
PO PourpelNourpel	Nemiga Gamingavg 51¢	$304.23	$501.09	+$196.86	55% 51-41 (92)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighARB<$100	Power Rangersavg 26.6¢	$456.25	$468.52	+$12.27	51% 2054-1969 (4023)
└ Power Rangers leg	Power Rangersavg 26.6¢	$249.34	$267.3	+$17.96
└ Nemiga Gaming leg	Nemiga Gamingavg 73.5¢	$206.91	$201.22	-$5.69
R2 r2d2v2	Nemiga Gamingavg 53¢	$281.25	$464.33	+$183.08	12% 24-178 (202)
UN UNIVERSEMVPCTR	Power Rangersavg 28.4¢	$445.98	$447.5	+$1.53	30% 36-84 (120)
Hawk.live	Nemiga Gamingavg 72¢	$527.44	$414.53	+$39.78	57% 670-514 (1184)
maytopmay	Nemiga Gamingavg 54¢	$213.13	$345.35	+$132.22	17% 41-201 (242)
AU autob2	Nemiga Gamingavg 79.1¢	$253.53	$248	-$5.53	52% 33-30 (63)
38 38791873984189	Nemiga Gamingavg 80.5¢	$532.05	$184.14	-$55.81	48% 2153-2339 (4492)
CA calculate10ARB<$100	Nemiga Gamingavg 80.7¢	$368.63	$151.43	-$33.69	27% 43-116 (159)
└ Nemiga Gaming leg	Nemiga Gamingavg 80.7¢	$93.78	$80.16	-$6.97
└ Power Rangers leg	Power Rangersavg 21.8¢	$50.07	$71.28	-$26.71
AN anyjezzCTR	Power Rangersavg 49.8¢	$338.4	$108.8	-$229.6	29% 6-15 (21)
poshposhARB<$100	Nemiga Gamingavg 80.4¢	$114.89	$106	-$8.89	47% 509-574 (1083)
└ Nemiga Gaming leg	Nemiga Gamingavg 80.4¢	$88.91	$83.48	-$5.43
└ Power Rangers leg	Power Rangersavg 28.3¢	$25.98	$22.52	-$3.46
TE testBruno2	Nemiga Gamingavg 72¢	$230.91	$31.24	-$4.72	48% 36-39 (75)
0X 0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554CTR<$100	Power Rangersavg 17¢	$25.48	$26.23	+$0.75	47% 88-101 (189)
GA Gaditima<$100	Nemiga Gamingavg 39¢	$11.45	$25.83	+$14.38	46% 158-182 (340)
SU suntoriCTR<$100	Power Rangersavg 30¢	$45.71	$24.38	-$21.33	47% 1547-1731 (3278)
0X 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0<$100	Nemiga Gamingavg 76.5¢	$22.95	$23.1	+$0.15	41% 247-360 (607)

0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592

Nemiga Gaming

Invested

$5,100

Value

$7.2K

PnL

+$2.1K

Record

46%

448-518 (966)

Sisyphus-

Nemiga Gaming

Invested

$3,962.81

Value

$6.8K

PnL

+$2.8K

Record

57%

530-402 (932)

DotaBotReborn

Nemiga Gaming

Invested

$2,935.49

Value

$5.0K

PnL

+$2.0K

Record

64%

35-20 (55)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2ARB<$100

Nemiga Gaming

Invested

$1,268.79

Value

$1.2K

PnL

-$28.67

Record

56%

3895-3063 (6958)

Both legs:

Nemiga Gaming$934.1971.8¢+$34.55

Power Rangers$334.631.4¢-$63.23

6512395314597884ARB<$100

Nemiga Gaming

Invested

$1,066.31

Value

$1.0K

PnL

-$49.65

Record

50%

3536-3500 (7036)

Both legs:

Nemiga Gaming$843.678.8¢-$35.55

Power Rangers$222.7126.2¢-$14.1

RandomVibecoder

Nemiga Gaming

Invested

$569.63

Value

$809.87

PnL

+$240.23

Record

48%

510-560 (1070)

0xffAaEFb5f6762Cc70cb575Da8722E8C895E38cEe-1767374935341CTR

Power Rangers

Invested

$2,331.7

Value

$731.38

PnL

$-1.6K

Record

14%

32-193 (225)

NotJump

Nemiga Gaming

Invested

$908.74

Value

$643.46

PnL

-$15.26

Record

54%

428-364 (792)

0xc5d909a16130A0A0b61Af3dB09a89e108093b188-1780593472190CTR

Power Rangers

Invested

$1,634

Value

$512

PnL

$-1.1K

Record

56%

18-14 (32)

PourpelNourpel

Nemiga Gaming

Invested

$304.23

Value

$501.09

PnL

+$196.86

Record

55%

51-41 (92)

keeptheblueflagflyinghighARB<$100

Power Rangers

Invested

$456.25

Value

$468.52

PnL

+$12.27

Record

51%

2054-1969 (4023)

Both legs:

Power Rangers$249.3426.6¢+$17.96

Nemiga Gaming$206.9173.5¢-$5.69

r2d2v2

Nemiga Gaming

Invested

$281.25

Value

$464.33

PnL

+$183.08

Record

12%

24-178 (202)

UNIVERSEMVPCTR

Power Rangers

Invested

$445.98

Value

$447.5

PnL

+$1.53

Record

30%

36-84 (120)

Hawk.live

Nemiga Gaming

Invested

$527.44

Value

$414.53

PnL

+$39.78

Record

57%

670-514 (1184)

maytopmay

Nemiga Gaming

Invested

$213.13

Value

$345.35

PnL

+$132.22

Record

17%

41-201 (242)

autob2

Nemiga Gaming

Invested

$253.53

Value

$248

PnL

-$5.53

Record

52%

33-30 (63)

38791873984189

Nemiga Gaming

Invested

$532.05

Value

$184.14

PnL

-$55.81

Record

48%

2153-2339 (4492)

calculate10ARB<$100

Nemiga Gaming

Invested

$368.63

Value

$151.43

PnL

-$33.69

Record

27%

43-116 (159)

Both legs:

Nemiga Gaming$93.7880.7¢-$6.97

Power Rangers$50.0721.8¢-$26.71

anyjezzCTR

Power Rangers

Invested

$338.4

Value

$108.8

PnL

-$229.6

Record

29%

6-15 (21)

poshposhARB<$100

Nemiga Gaming

Invested

$114.89

Value

$106

PnL

-$8.89

Record

47%

509-574 (1083)

Both legs:

Nemiga Gaming$88.9180.4¢-$5.43

Power Rangers$25.9828.3¢-$3.46

testBruno2

Nemiga Gaming

Invested

$230.91

Value

$31.24

PnL

-$4.72

Record

48%

36-39 (75)

0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554CTR<$100

Power Rangers

Invested

$25.48

Value

$26.23

PnL

+$0.75

Record

47%

88-101 (189)

Gaditima<$100

Nemiga Gaming

Invested

$11.45

Value

$25.83

PnL

+$14.38

Record

46%

158-182 (340)

suntoriCTR<$100

Power Rangers

Invested

$45.71

Value

$24.38

PnL

-$21.33

Record

47%

1547-1731 (3278)

0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0<$100

Nemiga Gaming

Invested

$22.95

Value

$23.1

PnL

+$0.15

Record

41%

247-360 (607)

Research grade

NeutralNemiga Gaming at 74%

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

Nemiga Gaming

14 of 23 top traders (61%)5 arbitrage traders dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

12 traders

Top 2 hold 59%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationBalanced

55% of non-arb traders are on Nemiga Gaming. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 59% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

sharpPower Rangers 100% · 1

Diverging

ctrPower Rangers 70% · 10

Diverging

Top 1000Nemiga Gaming 55% · 22

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Nemiga Gaming wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance75.4%

73.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.9¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$32.54

Max Loss

-$100.00

132.5

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.