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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was LEGION — but LGD Gaming won instead.

Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs LEGION (+1.5)

Resolved LGD Gaming. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held LEGION. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

8

LEGION 57%

Total Value

$113.13

Combined PnL

-$433.63

Smart Money Signal

LEGION

5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

LGD Gaming100%

LEGION0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

LEGION5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares922

Combined PnL-$456.24

LGD Gaming3 traders

Total Value$113.13

Total Shares113

Combined PnL+$22.61

LEGION — 63%LGD Gaming — 37%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
AM ameisgoat11CTR	LEGIONavg 47.1¢	$169.55	—	-$169.55	41% 688-1005 (1693)
BI biying99999CTR	LEGIONavg 53.2¢	$221.89	—	-$221.89	35% 104-192 (296)
PI pipipi150<$100	LGD Gamingavg 99.9¢	$64.59	$64.65	+$0.06	69% 67-30 (97)
YI yishiwuchengCTR<$100	LEGIONavg 44.3¢	$80.22	—	-$1.13	58% 85-62 (147)
0X 0x5b624e3E0426F7AA2Ca57F7451fbcEa4b125D87f-1769796221989CTR<$100	LEGIONavg 49.8¢	$63.68	—	-$63.68	47% 34-39 (73)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh<$100	LGD Gamingavg 54¢	$23.48	$43.48	+$20	50% 2504-2463 (4967)
forsenxd<$100	LGD Gamingavg 49¢	$2.45	$5	+$2.55	49% 373-396 (769)
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR	LEGIONavg 50¢	$183	—	+$0	69% 131-59 (190)

Invested

$169.55

Value

—

PnL

-$169.55

Record

41%

688-1005 (1693)

Invested

$221.89

Value

—

PnL

-$221.89

Record

35%

104-192 (296)

Invested

$64.59

Value

$64.65

PnL

+$0.06

Record

69%

67-30 (97)

yishiwuchengCTR<$100

Invested

$80.22

Value

—

PnL

-$1.13

Record

58%

85-62 (147)

0x5b624e3E0426F7AA2Ca57F7451fbcEa4b125D87f-1769796221989CTR<$100

Invested

$63.68

Value

—

PnL

-$63.68

Record

47%

34-39 (73)

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh<$100

Invested

$23.48

Value

$43.48

PnL

+$20

Record

50%

2504-2463 (4967)

Invested

$2.45

Value

$5

PnL

+$2.55

Record

49%

373-396 (769)

overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR

Invested

$183

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

69%

131-59 (190)

Smart Money Signal

LEGION

5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x7871187a...4bfce6

Slug

dota2-lgd-legion1-2026-11-12-game-handicap-away-1pt5

Traders in this Market

ameisgoat11

LEGION — $0

biying99999

LEGION — $0

pipipi150

LGD Gaming — $64.65

yishiwucheng

LEGION — $0

0x5b624e3E0426F7AA2Ca57F7451fbcEa4b125D87f-1769796221989

LEGION — $0

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

LGD Gaming — $43.48

forsenxd

LGD Gaming — $5

overtimemarkets.xyz-singles

LEGION — $0

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