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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was OG — but LEGION won instead.

Dota 2: LEGION vs OG - Game 2 Winner

Resolved LEGION. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held OG. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

49

OG 60%

Total Value

$65.9K

Combined PnL

$-13.3K

Smart Money Signal

OG

26 of 49 top traders (53%)26 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

LEGION100%
OG0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

LEGION23 traders
Total Value$65.9K
Total Shares65,882
Combined PnL+$36.6K
OG26 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares81,094
Combined PnL$-49.9K
LEGION — 47%OG — 53%
0X
0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592
LEGION

Invested

$7,812.03

Value

$26.2K

PnL

+$18.3K

Record

58%

919-663 (1582)

RA
RandomVibecoder
LEGION

Invested

$24,742.76

Value

$14.9K

PnL

+$4.8K

Record

49%

818-867 (1685)

GX
gxxyy
LEGION

Invested

$13,341.07

Value

$11.3K

PnL

+$2.2K

Record

69%

503-223 (726)

BI
BillBenter2026CTR
OG

Invested

$2,349.42

Value

—

PnL

$-2.3K

Record

57%

18964-14033 (32997)

CoinTrick
LEGION

Invested

$2,038.08

Value

$2.0K

PnL

+$2.04

Record

98%

3990-95 (4085)

GE
GeorgeRe
LEGION

Invested

$1,142.12

Value

$2.0K

PnL

+$2.5K

Record

54%

1097-937 (2034)

CA
calculate10
LEGION

Invested

$6,556.52

Value

$2.0K

PnL

+$417.1

Record

53%

1260-1097 (2357)

iceblue-
LEGION

Invested

$1,148.01

Value

$1.8K

PnL

+$668.85

Record

43%

833-1095 (1928)

TO
topdogbigboi
LEGION

Invested

$635.21

Value

$1.2K

PnL

+$523.76

Record

47%

10535-11772 (22307)

poshposhCTR
OG

Invested

$1,407.86

Value

—

PnL

$-1.4K

Record

57%

11829-8912 (20741)

VO
Volodyabandit
LEGION

Invested

$601.08

Value

$1.1K

PnL

+$470.28

Record

75%

280-93 (373)

GO
GooGooGaga1CTR
OG

Invested

$4,428.22

Value

—

PnL

$-1.3K

Record

78%

47-13 (60)

0X
0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554
LEGION

Invested

$1,115.2

Value

$882.35

PnL

-$223.6

Record

53%

3269-2887 (6156)

0X
0xffAaEFb5f6762Cc70cb575Da8722E8C895E38cEe-1767374935341
LEGION

Invested

$195.5

Value

$650

PnL

+$454.5

Record

50%

548-551 (1099)

NO
NotJump
LEGION

Invested

$150

Value

$500

PnL

+$350

Record

44%

10204-13244 (23448)

PO
pol2131
LEGION

Invested

$184.99

Value

$499.98

PnL

+$260.49

Record

45%

416-508 (924)

BA
BackTestEoCaraio
LEGION

Invested

$9,254

Value

$490.14

PnL

+$80.93

Record

62%

596-367 (963)

LR
lryyy
LEGION

Invested

$404.18

Value

$429.6

PnL

+$25.42

Record

47%

9051-10188 (19239)

PI
pipipi150CTR
OG

Invested

$1,828.24

Value

—

PnL

$-1.8K

Record

65%

1753-935 (2688)

PA
pauleta23CTR<$100
OG

Invested

$48.06

Value

—

PnL

-$48.06

Record

66%

23792-12038 (35830)

0X
0xF201A19b43471261A3c1Ba9247335d55270e527e-1763824114616CTR
OG

Invested

$3,776.46

Value

—

PnL

$-3.8K

Record

49%

1170-1223 (2393)

Tolkonevminus3CTR
OG

Invested

$8,401.39

Value

—

PnL

$-5.5K

Record

56%

79-62 (141)

PA
panpidaras1CTR
OG

Invested

$2,151.23

Value

—

PnL

$-1.4K

Record

49%

233-246 (479)

web3BossCTR
OG

Invested

$1,930.85

Value

—

PnL

$-2.0K

Record

74%

595-204 (799)

SP
spartachio<$100
LEGION

Invested

$10.33

Value

$31.3

PnL

+$20.97

Record

48%

710-770 (1480)