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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Zero Tenacity — but Inner Circle won instead.

Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner

Resolved Inner Circle. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Zero Tenacity. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Zero Tenacity 67%

Total Value

$454.76

Combined PnL

$-18.8K

Smart Money Signal

Zero Tenacity

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Inner Circle100%

Zero Tenacity0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Zero Tenacity5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares46,668

Combined PnL$-19.1K

Inner Circle4 traders

Total Value$454.76

Total Shares455

Combined PnL+$279.29

Zero Tenacity — 56%Inner Circle — 44%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SI Sisyphus-CTR	Zero Tenacityavg 56.2¢	$18.1K	—	$-17.8K	55% 791-650 (1441)
R2 r2d2v2CTR	Zero Tenacityavg 56.2¢	$613.49	—	-$613.49	54% 303-256 (559)
alpheclabs2	Inner Circleavg 37¢	$140.08	$378.12	+$238.04	47% 1366-1547 (2913)
LR lryyy<$100	Inner Circleavg 54.2¢	$60.34	$76.64	+$16.3	47% 9585-10702 (20287)
PO PourpelNourpelCTR	Zero Tenacityavg 22¢	$784.19	—	-$784.19	53% 668-598 (1266)
0X 0x6453Db824e2bFa4eAcE63b16F716ba663cf66a16-1740178698115CTR	Zero Tenacityavg 13.6¢	$1.4K	—	$-1.4K	43% 72-96 (168)
maytopmay<$100	Inner Circleavg 45.7¢	$35.33	$0	+$17.47	61% 311-201 (512)
NO nomoredreamCTR	Zero Tenacityavg 32.2¢	$10.0K	—	+$1.5K	61% 345-221 (566)
SH shiifoo<$100	Inner Circleavg 66¢	$14.52	—	+$7.48	47% 4175-4797 (8972)

Invested

$18,110.56

Value

—

PnL

$-17.8K

Record

55%

791-650 (1441)

Invested

$613.49

Value

—

PnL

-$613.49

Record

54%

303-256 (559)

Invested

$140.08

Value

$378.12

PnL

+$238.04

Record

47%

1366-1547 (2913)

Invested

$60.34

Value

$76.64

PnL

+$16.3

Record

47%

9585-10702 (20287)

PourpelNourpelCTR

Invested

$784.19

Value

—

PnL

-$784.19

Record

53%

668-598 (1266)

0x6453Db824e2bFa4eAcE63b16F716ba663cf66a16-1740178698115CTR

Invested

$1,389.75

Value

—

PnL

$-1.4K

Record

43%

72-96 (168)

Invested

$35.33

Value

$0

PnL

+$17.47

Record

61%

311-201 (512)

Invested

$9,999.75

Value

—

PnL

+$1.5K

Record

61%

345-221 (566)

Invested

$14.52

Value

—

PnL

+$7.48

Record

47%

4175-4797 (8972)

Smart Money Signal

Zero Tenacity

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xaf5176df...81c686

Slug

dota2-ic-z10-2026-11-08-game2

Traders in this Market

Sisyphus-

Zero Tenacity — $0

r2d2v2

Zero Tenacity — $0

alpheclabs2

Inner Circle — $378.12

lryyy

Inner Circle — $76.64

PourpelNourpel

Zero Tenacity — $0

0x6453Db824e2bFa4eAcE63b16F716ba663cf66a16-1740178698115

Zero Tenacity — $0

maytopmay

Inner Circle — $0

nomoredream

Zero Tenacity — $0

shiifoo

Inner Circle — $0

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