Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Spirit Academy — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Spirit Academy
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winner
Resolved Spirit Academy. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Spirit Academy. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
5
Spirit Academy 80%
1 arb excluded
$9.1K
$3.1K
Smart Money Signal
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GE GeorgeRe | Spirit Academyavg 50.2¢ | $2.5K | $4.9K | +$2.5K | 54% 1138-979 (2117) |
RA RandomVibecoderARB<$100 | Spirit Academyavg 64.1¢ | $1.2K | $1.1K | -$97.96 | 48% 855-909 (1764) |
| └ Spirit Academy leg | Spirit Academyavg 64.1¢ | $700.94 | $1.1K | +$392.85 | |
| └ Inner Circle leg | Inner Circleavg 43.5¢ | $490.81 | — | -$490.81 | |
PO PourpelNourpel | Spirit Academyavg 54.3¢ | $885.08 | $1.1K | +$192.1 | 53% 667-598 (1265) |
SI Sisyphus- | Spirit Academyavg 54.8¢ | $539.99 | $984.85 | +$444.86 | 55% 787-646 (1433) |
LO looppau | Spirit Academyavg 99.9¢ | $975.28 | $976.26 | +$0.98 | 99% 12963-107 (13070) |
LR lryyyCTR<$100 | Inner Circleavg 50.8¢ | $27.94 | — | -$27.94 | 47% 9568-10685 (20253) |
Invested
$2,482.82
Value
$4.9K
PnL
+$2.5K
Record
54%
1138-979 (2117)
Invested
$1,191.75
Value
$1.1K
PnL
-$97.96
Record
48%
855-909 (1764)
Both legs:
Invested
$885.08
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$192.1
Record
53%
667-598 (1265)
Invested
$539.99
Value
$984.85
PnL
+$444.86
Record
55%
787-646 (1433)
Invested
$975.28
Value
$976.26
PnL
+$0.98
Record
99%
12963-107 (13070)
Invested
$27.94
Value
—
PnL
-$27.94
Record
47%
9568-10685 (20253)