Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Spirit Academy β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Spirit Academy

Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winner
Resolved Spirit Academy. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Spirit Academy. The smart money was right.
π
Won
9
Spirit Academy 25%
1 arb excluded
$6.2K
$1.1K
Smart Money Signal
3 of 9 top traders (33%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RA RandomVibecoder | Spirit Academyavg 50.7Β’ | $3.1K | $5.1K | +$1.9K | 48% 855-909 (1764) |
![]() NeimukingCTR | Inner Circleavg 61Β’ | $1.2K | β | $-1.2K | 59% 70-48 (118) |
PO PourpelNourpelARB<$100 | Inner Circleavg 57.3Β’ | $803.96 | $1.1K | +$277.07 | 53% 667-598 (1265) |
| β Spirit Academy leg | Spirit Academyavg 37.2Β’ | $401.98 | $1.1K | +$679.05 | |
| β Inner Circle leg | Inner Circleavg 57.3Β’ | $401.98 | β | -$401.98 | |
TO TommyLeePeecaCTR<$100 | Inner Circleavg 64.5Β’ | $15.16 | β | -$15.16 | 53% 1203-1061 (2264) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100 | Inner Circleavg 41.1Β’ | $38.41 | β | -$38.41 | 59% 33226-23391 (56617) |
![]() alpheclabs2<$100 | Spirit Academyavg 11.9Β’ | $10.79 | $91.03 | +$104.35 | 47% 1363-1539 (2902) |
LR lryyyCTR<$100 | Inner Circleavg 60.1Β’ | $89.09 | β | -$42.09 | 47% 9568-10685 (20253) |
SH shiifooCTR<$100 | Inner Circleavg 9.4Β’ | $0.58 | β | -$0.58 | 47% 4121-4665 (8786) |
GT gt7238CTR<$100 | Inner Circleavg 63.2Β’ | $3.16 | β | -$3.16 | 45% 668-825 (1493) |
R2 r2d2v2 | Spirit Academyavg 40Β’ | $250 | β | +$375 | 54% 303-255 (558) |
Invested
$3,116.25
Value
$5.1K
PnL
+$1.9K
Record
48%
855-909 (1764)
NeimukingCTRInvested
$1,219.92
Value
β
PnL
$-1.2K
Record
59%
70-48 (118)
Invested
$803.96
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$277.07
Record
53%
667-598 (1265)
Both legs:
Invested
$15.16
Value
β
PnL
-$15.16
Record
53%
1203-1061 (2264)
Invested
$38.41
Value
β
PnL
-$38.41
Record
59%
33226-23391 (56617)
alpheclabs2<$100Invested
$10.79
Value
$91.03
PnL
+$104.35
Record
47%
1363-1539 (2902)
Invested
$89.09
Value
β
PnL
-$42.09
Record
47%
9568-10685 (20253)
Invested
$0.58
Value
β
PnL
-$0.58
Record
47%
4121-4665 (8786)
Invested
$3.16
Value
β
PnL
-$3.16
Record
45%
668-825 (1493)
Invested
$250
Value
β
PnL
+$375
Record
54%
303-255 (558)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
RandomVibecoder
Spirit Academy β $5.1K

Neimuking
CTRInner Circle β $0
PourpelNourpel
ARBArbitrage β excluded
TommyLeePeeca
CTRInner Circle β $0
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
CTRInner Circle β $0

alpheclabs2
Spirit Academy β $91.03
lryyy
CTRInner Circle β $0
shiifoo
CTRInner Circle β $0
gt7238
CTRInner Circle β $0
r2d2v2
Spirit Academy β $0