Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner

4 of 6 top Polymarket traders hold InterActive Philippines (67%) · InterActive Philippines at 92¢ · $9K held · ends Nov 11

InterActive Philippines92¢Zero Tenacity8¢Ends Wed, Nov 11, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

InterActive Philippines

Consensus Traders

InterActive Philippines 67%

Total Value

$9.3K

Combined PnL

-$489.08

Smart Money Entry

71.2¢ → 92¢

+29% since entry · 4 traders

Research grade

NeutralInterActive Philippines at 92%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

InterActive Philippines

4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

InterActive Philippines92%

Zero Tenacity8%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

InterActive Philippines4 traders

Total Value$8.7K

Total Shares12,022

Combined PnL-$29.92

Zero Tenacity2 traders

Total Value$521.6

Total Shares3,339

Combined PnL-$459.16

InterActive Philippines — 67%Zero Tenacity — 33%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

3 traders

Top 2 hold 96%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

60% of non-arb traders are on InterActive Philippines. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 96% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

ctrZero Tenacity 67% · 3

Diverging

Top 1000InterActive Philippines 60% · 5

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592	InterActive Philippinesavg 70.8¢	$5.9K	$5.9K	+$7.59	46% 426-495 (921)
SI Sisyphus-	InterActive Philippinesavg 71.6¢	$2.2K	$2.2K	-$18.93	57% 514-393 (907)
CA calculate10CTR	Zero Tenacityavg 27.5¢	$1.3K	$463.6	-$468.01	22% 26-91 (117)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2	InterActive Philippinesavg 74.6¢	$390.84	$376.49	-$14.35	56% 3836-3007 (6843)
PO PourpelNourpel	InterActive Philippinesavg 72¢	$304.06	$299.83	-$4.22	51% 30-29 (59)
Medo3DCTR<$100	Zero Tenacityavg 24.6¢	$49.15	$58	+$8.85	6% 14-216 (230)

0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592

InterActive Philippines

Invested

$5,859.39

Value

$5.9K

PnL

+$7.59

Record

46%

426-495 (921)

Sisyphus-

InterActive Philippines

Invested

$2,216.32

Value

$2.2K

PnL

-$18.93

Record

57%

514-393 (907)

calculate10CTR

Zero Tenacity

Invested

$1,270.61

Value

$463.6

PnL

-$468.01

Record

22%

26-91 (117)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2

InterActive Philippines

Invested

$390.84

Value

$376.49

PnL

-$14.35

Record

56%

3836-3007 (6843)

PourpelNourpel

InterActive Philippines

Invested

$304.06

Value

$299.83

PnL

-$4.22

Record

51%

30-29 (59)

Medo3DCTR<$100

Zero Tenacity

Invested

$49.15

Value

$58

PnL

+$8.85

Record

14-216 (230)

Research grade

NeutralInterActive Philippines at 92%

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

InterActive Philippines

4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

3 traders

Top 2 hold 96%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

60% of non-arb traders are on InterActive Philippines. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 96% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

ctrZero Tenacity 67% · 3

Diverging

Top 1000InterActive Philippines 60% · 5

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that InterActive Philippines wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance93.3%

92.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.3¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$7.15

Max Loss

-$100.00

107.2

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.