Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was potn9ki — but InterActive Philippines won instead.
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs potn9ki (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group B
Resolved InterActive Philippines. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held potn9ki. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
7
potn9ki 67%
1 arb excluded
$136.47
-$26.56
Smart Money Signal
4 of 7 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 poshposhARB<$100 | potn9kiavg 26.2¢ | $89.4 | $40.7 | -$48.7 | 49% 1117-1185 (2302) |
| └ InterActive Philippines leg | InterActive Philippinesavg 92.5¢ | $37.65 | $40.7 | +$3.05 | |
| └ potn9ki leg | potn9kiavg 26.2¢ | $51.75 | — | -$51.75 | |
SU suntori<$100 | InterActive Philippinesavg 93¢ | $52.86 | $56.82 | +$3.95 | 46% 2653-3138 (5791) |
 handandfacetatto<$100 | InterActive Philippinesavg 99.9¢ | $38.86 | $38.9 | +$0.04 | 100% 99-0 (99) |
0X 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0CTR<$100 | potn9kiavg 12.5¢ | $7.5 | — | -$7.5 | 44% 372-467 (839) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | potn9kiavg 11¢ | $5.5 | — | -$5.5 | 53% 7060-6194 (13254) |
GA GaditimaCTR<$100 | potn9kiavg 30¢ | $13.58 | — | -$13.58 | 48% 274-292 (566) |
LR lryyyCTR<$100 | potn9kiavg 14.7¢ | $3.97 | — | -$3.97 | 45% 805-991 (1796) |
NO NotJump | InterActive Philippinesavg 50¢ | $525 | $0.05 | +$0 | 52% 820-759 (1579) |
poshposhARB<$100Invested
$89.4
Value
$40.7
PnL
-$48.7
Record
49%
1117-1185 (2302)
Both legs:
Invested
$52.86
Value
$56.82
PnL
+$3.95
Record
46%
2653-3138 (5791)
handandfacetatto<$100Invested
$38.86
Value
$38.9
PnL
+$0.04
Record
100%
99-0 (99)
Invested
$7.5
Value
—
PnL
-$7.5
Record
44%
372-467 (839)
Invested
$5.5
Value
—
PnL
-$5.5
Record
53%
7060-6194 (13254)
Invested
$13.58
Value
—
PnL
-$13.58
Record
48%
274-292 (566)
Invested
$3.97
Value
—
PnL
-$3.97
Record
45%
805-991 (1796)
Invested
$525
Value
$0.05
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
820-759 (1579)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
poshposh
ARBArbitrage — excluded
suntori
InterActive Philippines — $56.82
handandfacetatto
InterActive Philippines — $38.9
0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0
CTRpotn9ki — $0
cigarettes
CTRpotn9ki — $0
Gaditima
CTRpotn9ki — $0
lryyy
CTRpotn9ki — $0
NotJump
InterActive Philippines — $0.05