Dota 2: GamerLegion vs LEGION (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs

9 of 10 top Polymarket traders hold GamerLegion (90%) · GamerLegion at 69¢ · $15K held · ends Oct 29

GamerLegion69¢LEGION31¢Ends Thu, Oct 29, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

GamerLegion

Consensus Traders

GamerLegion 90%

Total Value

$14.9K

Combined PnL

$182.02

Smart Money Entry

68.9¢ → 68.5¢

-1% since entry · 9 traders

Research grade

NeutralGamerLegion at 69%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

GamerLegion

9 of 10 top traders (90%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

GamerLegion69%

LEGION32%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

GamerLegion9 traders

Total Value$11.8K

Total Shares16,997

Combined PnL+$63.5

LEGION1 trader

Total Value$3.1K

Total Shares9,900

Combined PnL+$118.53

GamerLegion — 90%LEGION — 10%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
TR TrippleEX	GamerLegionavg 70¢	$7.0K	$7.0K	-$0	58% 286-211 (497)
0X 0xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-1782415802542	GamerLegionavg 67¢	$3.2K	$3.3K	+$48.3	47% 2407-2692 (5099)
0X 0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592CTR	LEGIONavg 30.3¢	$3.0K	$3.1K	+$118.53	58% 884-644 (1528)
0X 0x5b624e3E0426F7AA2Ca57F7451fbcEa4b125D87f-1769796221989	GamerLegionavg 68¢	$680	$690	+$10	53% 5500-4845 (10345)
0xheavy888	GamerLegionavg 68¢	$680	$685	+$5	56% 6915-5529 (12444)
VeryLucky888<$100	GamerLegionavg 67¢	$67	$67.5	+$0.5	58% 40758-29479 (70237)
LU LucasCosta.<$100	GamerLegionavg 68¢	$17	$16.88	-$0.13	41% 328-470 (798)
AM ameisgoat11<$100	GamerLegionavg 68.3¢	$10.25	$10.28	+$0.03	47% 2054-2350 (4404)
OM omnibus-076daa<$100	GamerLegionavg 68¢	$9.74	$9.67	-$0.07	49% 18605-19035 (37640)
PU purplegatto<$100	GamerLegionavg 71¢	$9.23	$9.1	-$0.13	50% 5776-5882 (11658)

TrippleEX

GamerLegion

Invested

$6,999.99

Value

$7.0K

PnL

-$0

Record

58%

286-211 (497)

0xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-1782415802542

GamerLegion

Invested

$3,236.03

Value

$3.3K

PnL

+$48.3

Record

47%

2407-2692 (5099)

0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592CTR

LEGION

Invested

$3,000

Value

$3.1K

PnL

+$118.53

Record

58%

884-644 (1528)

0x5b624e3E0426F7AA2Ca57F7451fbcEa4b125D87f-1769796221989

GamerLegion

Invested

$680

Value

$690

PnL

+$10

Record

53%

5500-4845 (10345)

0xheavy888

GamerLegion

Invested

$680

Value

$685

PnL

+$5

Record

56%

6915-5529 (12444)

VeryLucky888<$100

GamerLegion

Invested

$67

Value

$67.5

PnL

+$0.5

Record

58%

40758-29479 (70237)

LucasCosta.<$100

GamerLegion

Invested

$17

Value

$16.88

PnL

-$0.13

Record

41%

328-470 (798)

ameisgoat11<$100

GamerLegion

Invested

$10.25

Value

$10.28

PnL

+$0.03

Record

47%

2054-2350 (4404)

omnibus-076daa<$100

GamerLegion

Invested

$9.74

Value

$9.67

PnL

-$0.07

Record

49%

18605-19035 (37640)

purplegatto<$100

GamerLegion

Invested

$9.23

Value

$9.1

PnL

-$0.13

Record

50%

5776-5882 (11658)

Research grade

NeutralGamerLegion at 69%

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

GamerLegion

9 of 10 top traders (90%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that GamerLegion wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance70.6%

68.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.1¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$41.72

Max Loss

-$100.00

141.7

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.