Dota 2: CyberHero vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group B

5 of 6 top Polymarket traders hold CyberHero (83%) · CyberHero at 95¢ · $3K held · ends Nov 11

CyberHero95¢Zero Tenacity5¢Ends Wed, Nov 11, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

CyberHero

Consensus Traders

CyberHero 83%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.6K

Combined PnL

-$0.6

Smart Money Entry

80.6¢ → 94.5¢

+17% since entry · 5 traders

Research grade

NeutralCyberHero at 95%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

CyberHero

5 of 6 top traders (83%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

CyberHero95%

Zero Tenacity6%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

CyberHero5 traders

Total Value$2.5K

Total Shares2,865

Combined PnL-$0.83

Zero Tenacity1 trader

Total Value$1.59

Total Shares23

Combined PnL+$0.23

CyberHero — 83%Zero Tenacity — 17%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

4 traders

Top 2 hold 96%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

100% of non-arb traders are on CyberHero. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 96% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

ctrCyberHero 100% · 3

Aligned

Hand-pickedCyberHero 100% · 1

Aligned

Top 1000CyberHero 100% · 3

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
CA calculate10	CyberHeroavg 80.9¢	$1.5K	$1.0K	-$144.04	22% 30-104 (134)
AM ameisgoat11	CyberHeroavg 78.1¢	$765.11	$841.34	+$155.05	32% 291-617 (908)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2	CyberHeroavg 82.8¢	$545.48	$545.31	-$0.17	56% 3851-3020 (6871)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighARB<$100	CyberHeroavg 84.8¢	$164.06	$127.05	-$37	53% 1811-1621 (3432)
└ CyberHero leg	CyberHeroavg 84.8¢	$91.36	$100.24	+$8.88
└ Zero Tenacity leg	Zero Tenacityavg 19¢	$72.7	$26.81	-$45.89
VeryLucky888<$100	CyberHeroavg 86¢	$86	$72.37	-$11.63	51% 455-429 (884)
SE sentrioCTR<$100	Zero Tenacityavg 6¢	$1.36	$1.59	+$0.23	37% 346-578 (924)
JU JuiceFarm<$100	CyberHeroavg 77¢	$0.89	$0.85	-$0.03	65% 15-8 (23)

calculate10

CyberHero

Invested

$1,480.76

Value

$1.0K

PnL

-$144.04

Record

22%

30-104 (134)

ameisgoat11

CyberHero

Invested

$765.11

Value

$841.34

PnL

+$155.05

Record

32%

291-617 (908)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2

CyberHero

Invested

$545.48

Value

$545.31

PnL

-$0.17

Record

56%

3851-3020 (6871)

keeptheblueflagflyinghighARB<$100

CyberHero

Invested

$164.06

Value

$127.05

PnL

-$37

Record

53%

1811-1621 (3432)

Both legs:

CyberHero$91.3684.8¢+$8.88

Zero Tenacity$72.719¢-$45.89

VeryLucky888<$100

CyberHero

Invested

$86

Value

$72.37

PnL

-$11.63

Record

51%

455-429 (884)

sentrioCTR<$100

Zero Tenacity

Invested

$1.36

Value

$1.59

PnL

+$0.23

Record

37%

346-578 (924)

JuiceFarm<$100

CyberHero

Invested

$0.89

Value

$0.85

PnL

-$0.03

Record

65%

15-8 (23)

Research grade

NeutralCyberHero at 95%

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

CyberHero

5 of 6 top traders (83%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

4 traders

Top 2 hold 96%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

100% of non-arb traders are on CyberHero. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 96% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

ctrCyberHero 100% · 3

Aligned

Hand-pickedCyberHero 100% · 1

Aligned

Top 1000CyberHero 100% · 3

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that CyberHero wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance95.7%

94.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$4.48

Max Loss

-$100.00

104.5

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.