Dota 2: CyberHero vs PuckChamp - Game 2 Winner

7 of 9 top Polymarket traders hold CyberHero (78%) · CyberHero at 99¢ · $9K held · ends Nov 10

CyberHero99¢PuckChamp1¢Ends Tue, Nov 10, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

CyberHero

Consensus Traders

CyberHero 78%

Total Value

$9.1K

Combined PnL

$778.97

Smart Money Entry

84.4¢ → 98.7¢

+17% since entry · 7 traders

Research grade

NeutralCyberHero at 99%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

CyberHero

7 of 9 top traders (78%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

CyberHero99%

PuckChamp1%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

CyberHero7 traders

Total Value$9.0K

Total Shares9,133

Combined PnL+$1.2K

PuckChamp2 traders

Total Value$68.01

Total Shares3,171

Combined PnL-$425.79

CyberHero — 78%PuckChamp — 22%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

7 traders

Top 2 hold 94%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

78% of non-arb traders are on CyberHero. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 94% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

ctrCyberHero 60% · 5

Aligned

Top 1000CyberHero 78% · 9

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SI Sisyphus-	CyberHeroavg 84.3¢	$6.9K	$8.1K	+$1.2K	57% 507-387 (894)
PO PourpelNourpel	CyberHeroavg 84¢	$306.27	$355.49	+$49.22	55% 21-17 (38)
maytopmay	CyberHeroavg 86.4¢	$245.48	$280.36	+$34.88	9% 19-188 (207)
BA BackTestEoCaraio	CyberHeroavg 88.5¢	$629.14	$167.47	-$50.83	19% 13-56 (69)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh<$100	CyberHeroavg 85.2¢	$50.9	$40.66	-$10.25	54% 1612-1363 (2975)
RA RandomVibecoderCTR	PuckChampavg 15.3¢	$407.76	$35.93	-$371.84	48% 477-520 (997)
CA calculate10CTR<$100	PuckChampavg 13.1¢	$86.04	$32.09	-$53.95	20% 18-74 (92)
LR lryyy<$100	CyberHeroavg 89.6¢	$35.7	$31.81	-$3.89	50% 138-137 (275)
38 38791873984189<$100	CyberHeroavg 80¢	$12	$14.72	+$2.72	47% 781-864 (1645)

Sisyphus-

CyberHero

Invested

$6,938.11

Value

$8.1K

PnL

+$1.2K

Record

57%

507-387 (894)

PourpelNourpel

CyberHero

Invested

$306.27

Value

$355.49

PnL

+$49.22

Record

55%

21-17 (38)

maytopmay

CyberHero

Invested

$245.48

Value

$280.36

PnL

+$34.88

Record

19-188 (207)

BackTestEoCaraio

CyberHero

Invested

$629.14

Value

$167.47

PnL

-$50.83

Record

19%

13-56 (69)

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh<$100

CyberHero

Invested

$50.9

Value

$40.66

PnL

-$10.25

Record

54%

1612-1363 (2975)

RandomVibecoderCTR

PuckChamp

Invested

$407.76

Value

$35.93

PnL

-$371.84

Record

48%

477-520 (997)

calculate10CTR<$100

PuckChamp

Invested

$86.04

Value

$32.09

PnL

-$53.95

Record

20%

18-74 (92)

lryyy<$100

CyberHero

Invested

$35.7

Value

$31.81

PnL

-$3.89

Record

50%

138-137 (275)

38791873984189<$100

CyberHero

Invested

$12

Value

$14.72

PnL

+$2.72

Record

47%

781-864 (1645)

Research grade

NeutralCyberHero at 99%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

Smart Money Signal

CyberHero

7 of 9 top traders (78%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

7 traders

Top 2 hold 94%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

78% of non-arb traders are on CyberHero. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 94% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

ctrCyberHero 60% · 5

Aligned

Top 1000CyberHero 78% · 9

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that CyberHero wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.7%

98.7¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.33

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.3

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.