Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LEGION (BO1) - PARI Universe Group B

8 of 19 top Polymarket traders hold BetBoom Team (42%) · BetBoom Team at 59¢ · $41K held · ends Oct 27

BetBoom Team59¢LEGION41¢Ends Tue, Oct 27, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

BetBoom Team

Consensus Traders

BetBoom Team 42%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$41.0K

Combined PnL

$526.25

Smart Money Entry

60.7¢ → 58.5¢

-4% since entry · 8 traders

Research grade

NeutralBetBoom Team at 59%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Side priced 50–60¢Full year, out of sample: 0.50–0.70 lost −2.9 % a trade (n 23,546, 95 % CI −3.9 to −1.9).

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

BetBoom Team

8 of 19 top traders (42%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed11 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

BetBoom Team59%

LEGION42%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

BetBoom Team8 traders

Total Value$17.5K

Total Shares27,593

Combined PnL+$740.7

LEGION11 traders

Total Value$15.6K

Total Shares42,704

Combined PnL-$214.45

BetBoom Team — 42%LEGION — 58%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
1R 1rerrr	BetBoom Teamavg 58.7¢	$5.5K	$5.6K	+$441.04	51% 1288-1260 (2548)
LU luckycat888888CTR	LEGIONavg 37.3¢	$5.4K	$5.3K	-$109.89	49% 19-20 (39)
BL blackmold	BetBoom Teamavg 65¢	$5.2K	$5.1K	-$120	52% 12-11 (23)
FA facaigege	BetBoom Teamavg 57¢	$3.2K	$3.6K	+$364	48% 376-404 (780)
0X 0xf395A47ED88c8F18dF328680eF0FbBF496E523dD-1786216128620CTR	LEGIONavg 39.2¢	$3.3K	$3.0K	-$224.26	55% 36-29 (65)
GT gt7238ARB<$100	BetBoom Teamavg 58¢	$2.9K	$2.9K	+$4.39	45% 580-706 (1286)
└ BetBoom Team leg	BetBoom Teamavg 58¢	$1.7K	$1.7K	-$14.39
└ LEGION leg	LEGIONavg 41.8¢	$1.2K	$1.2K	+$18.78
0X 0xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-1782415802542ARB<$100	LEGIONavg 32.9¢	$2.5K	$2.8K	+$334.59	47% 2366-2637 (5003)
└ LEGION leg	LEGIONavg 32.9¢	$1.5K	$1.7K	+$167.16
└ BetBoom Team leg	BetBoom Teamavg 53.7¢	$917.12	$1.1K	+$167.44
PI pipipi150ARB<$100	BetBoom Teamavg 59¢	$2.2K	$2.2K	-$17.76	65% 1707-910 (2617)
└ BetBoom Team leg	BetBoom Teamavg 59¢	$1.3K	$1.4K	+$99.04
└ LEGION leg	LEGIONavg 41.8¢	$920.2	$803.4	-$116.81
Stone1337	BetBoom Teamavg 63¢	$1.9K	$1.9K	+$15	57% 94-70 (164)
SP spartachioCTR	LEGIONavg 35¢	$1.6K	$1.6K	+$66.66	48% 687-736 (1423)
0xheavy888CTR	LEGIONavg 35.7¢	$1.1K	$1.1K	+$25	56% 6840-5478 (12318)
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080CTR	LEGIONavg 36¢	$1.0K	$1.0K	+$14	51% 1198-1131 (2329)
JO johnsonboyyCTR	LEGIONavg 38¢	$960.83	$922.9	-$37.93	44% 35-45 (80)
ReformedxCTR	LEGIONavg 33¢	$2.4K	$883.61	+$84.74	52% 769-714 (1483)
TokennCTR	LEGIONavg 34.8¢	$639.59	$671.41	+$31.82	48% 643-698 (1341)
0X 0x5b624e3E0426F7AA2Ca57F7451fbcEa4b125D87f-1769796221989	BetBoom Teamavg 58¢	$580	$635	+$55	53% 5468-4813 (10281)
PO pol2131	BetBoom Teamavg 62¢	$620	$595	-$25	45% 393-473 (866)
MR MrConsistencyCTR	LEGIONavg 40.8¢	$534.86	$479.04	-$55.83	39% 540-833 (1373)
WE wewboCTR	LEGIONavg 37¢	$370	$365	-$5	51% 132-125 (257)
BE berlinskiesCTR	LEGIONavg 41.4¢	$172.47	$168.7	-$3.77	58% 5718-4199 (9917)
poshposh<$100	BetBoom Teamavg 53.9¢	$59.85	$70.5	+$10.65	60% 9086-6001 (15087)
HRTrading<$100	BetBoom Teamavg 58¢	$1.16	$1.17	+$0.01	54% 2558-2193 (4751)

1rerrr

BetBoom Team

Invested

$5,474.29

Value

$5.6K

PnL

+$441.04

Record

51%

1288-1260 (2548)

luckycat888888CTR

LEGION

Invested

$5,442.35

Value

$5.3K

PnL

-$109.89

Record

49%

19-20 (39)

blackmold

BetBoom Team

Invested

$5,199.99

Value

$5.1K

PnL

-$120

Record

52%

12-11 (23)

facaigege

BetBoom Team

Invested

$3,191.99

Value

$3.6K

PnL

+$364

Record

48%

376-404 (780)

0xf395A47ED88c8F18dF328680eF0FbBF496E523dD-1786216128620CTR

LEGION

Invested

$3,265.69

Value

$3.0K

PnL

-$224.26

Record

55%

36-29 (65)

gt7238ARB<$100

BetBoom Team

Invested

$2,874.54

Value

$2.9K

PnL

+$4.39

Record

45%

580-706 (1286)

Both legs:

BetBoom Team$1,669.8258¢-$14.39

LEGION$1,204.7341.8¢+$18.78

0xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-1782415802542ARB<$100

LEGION

Invested

$2,460.44

Value

$2.8K

PnL

+$334.59

Record

47%

2366-2637 (5003)

Both legs:

LEGION$1,543.3332.9¢+$167.16

BetBoom Team$917.1253.7¢+$167.44

pipipi150ARB<$100

BetBoom Team

Invested

$2,218.79

Value

$2.2K

PnL

-$17.76

Record

65%

1707-910 (2617)

Both legs:

BetBoom Team$1,298.5959¢+$99.04

LEGION$920.241.8¢-$116.81

Stone1337

BetBoom Team

Invested

$1,890

Value

$1.9K

PnL

+$15

Record

57%

94-70 (164)

spartachioCTR

LEGION

Invested

$1,555.4

Value

$1.6K

PnL

+$66.66

Record

48%

687-736 (1423)

0xheavy888CTR

LEGION

Invested

$1,069.98

Value

$1.1K

PnL

+$25

Record

56%

6840-5478 (12318)

0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080CTR

LEGION

Invested

$1,008

Value

$1.0K

PnL

+$14

Record

51%

1198-1131 (2329)

johnsonboyyCTR

LEGION

Invested

$960.83

Value

$922.9

PnL

-$37.93

Record

44%

35-45 (80)

ReformedxCTR

LEGION

Invested

$2,420.85

Value

$883.61

PnL

+$84.74

Record

52%

769-714 (1483)

TokennCTR

LEGION

Invested

$639.59

Value

$671.41

PnL

+$31.82

Record

48%

643-698 (1341)

0x5b624e3E0426F7AA2Ca57F7451fbcEa4b125D87f-1769796221989

BetBoom Team

Invested

$580

Value

$635

PnL

+$55

Record

53%

5468-4813 (10281)

pol2131

BetBoom Team

Invested

$620

Value

$595

PnL

-$25

Record

45%

393-473 (866)

MrConsistencyCTR

LEGION

Invested

$534.86

Value

$479.04

PnL

-$55.83

Record

39%

540-833 (1373)

wewboCTR

LEGION

Invested

$370

Value

$365

PnL

-$5

Record

51%

132-125 (257)

berlinskiesCTR

LEGION

Invested

$172.47

Value

$168.7

PnL

-$3.77

Record

58%

5718-4199 (9917)

poshposh<$100

BetBoom Team

Invested

$59.85

Value

$70.5

PnL

+$10.65

Record

60%

9086-6001 (15087)

HRTrading<$100

BetBoom Team

Invested

$1.16

Value

$1.17

PnL

+$0.01

Record

54%

2558-2193 (4751)

Research grade

NeutralBetBoom Team at 59%

Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Side priced 50–60¢Full year, out of sample: 0.50–0.70 lost −2.9 % a trade (n 23,546, 95 % CI −3.9 to −1.9).

Smart Money Signal

BetBoom Team

8 of 19 top traders (42%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed11 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that BetBoom Team wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance60.7%

58.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$64.73

Max Loss

-$100.00

164.7

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.