Dota 2: angry birds vs Level Up Academy (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group B

3 of 6 top Polymarket traders hold angry birds (50%) · angry birds at 100¢ · $949 held · ends Oct 28

angry birds>99¢Level Up Academy<1¢Ends Wed, Oct 28, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

angry birds

Consensus Traders

angry birds 50%

Total Value

$948.92

Combined PnL

-$71.4

Smart Money Entry

76¢ → 100¢

+31% since entry · 3 traders

Research grade

Neutralangry birds at 100%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

angry birds

3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

angry birds100%

Level Up Academy0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

angry birds3 traders

Total Value$939.01

Total Shares1,069

Combined PnL+$81.27

Level Up Academy3 traders

Total Value$9.9

Total Shares662

Combined PnL-$152.68

angry birds — 50%Level Up Academy — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
CO ColdBlooded	angry birdsavg 79.8¢	$610.69	$634.88	+$24.19	72% 137-54 (191)
RA RandomVibecoder	angry birdsavg 70.5¢	$159.01	$225.41	+$30.43	48% 787-838 (1625)
poshposh<$100	angry birdsavg 54.9¢	$52.07	$78.72	+$26.64	60% 9367-6346 (15713)
EX Executor398CTR<$100	Level Up Academyavg 65.3¢	$60	$9.6	-$29.6	38% 353-580 (933)
AN anyjezzCTR<$100	Level Up Academyavg 20¢	$63.14	$0.16	-$62.98	49% 525-536 (1061)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100	Level Up Academyavg 21¢	$60.23	$0.14	-$60.09	59% 30089-20811 (50900)

ColdBlooded

angry birds

Invested

$610.69

Value

$634.88

PnL

+$24.19

Record

72%

137-54 (191)

RandomVibecoder

angry birds

Invested

$159.01

Value

$225.41

PnL

+$30.43

Record

48%

787-838 (1625)

poshposh<$100

angry birds

Invested

$52.07

Value

$78.72

PnL

+$26.64

Record

60%

9367-6346 (15713)

Executor398CTR<$100

Level Up Academy

Invested

$60

Value

$9.6

PnL

-$29.6

Record

38%

353-580 (933)

anyjezzCTR<$100

Level Up Academy

Invested

$63.14

Value

$0.16

PnL

-$62.98

Record

49%

525-536 (1061)

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100

Level Up Academy

Invested

$60.23

Value

$0.14

PnL

-$60.09

Record

59%

30089-20811 (50900)

Research grade

Neutralangry birds at 100%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

Smart Money Signal

angry birds

3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that angry birds wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.