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DownDownDown
cryingbabydicer87<$100DownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 14, 8PM ET
Resolved Down. 20% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 20%
Total Value
$126.4
Combined PnL
-$62.88
Smart Money Signal
Up
1 of 5 top traders (20%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$126.4
Total Shares126
Combined PnL+$43.94
Up1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares361
Combined PnL-$106.82
Down — 80%Up — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MO mo-money<$100 | Downavg 65¢ | $26.91 | $41.4 | +$14.49 | 51% 1487-1429 (2916) |
BO bosona<$100 | Downavg 65¢ | $26 | $40 | +$14 | 51% 4740-4541 (9281) |
AL almach<$100 | Downavg 65¢ | $26 | $40 | +$14 | 51% 1492-1421 (2913) |
cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Downavg 71¢ | $3.55 | $5 | +$1.45 | 50% 1618-1648 (3266) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR | Upavg 29.6¢ | $106.82 | — | -$106.82 | 46% 72-84 (156) |
MO
mo-money<$100Invested
$26.91
Value
$41.4
PnL
+$14.49
Record
51%
1487-1429 (2916)
BO
bosona<$100Invested
$26
Value
$40
PnL
+$14
Record
51%
4740-4541 (9281)
AL
almach<$100Invested
$26
Value
$40
PnL
+$14
Record
51%
1492-1421 (2913)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$3.55
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.45
Record
50%
1618-1648 (3266)
0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTRInvested
$106.82
Value
—
PnL
-$106.82
Record
46%
72-84 (156)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc567e305...958f05
Slug
dogecoin-up-or-down-november-14-2026-8pm-et