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DownDownDown
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100UpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 14, 4PM ET
Resolved Down. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 40%
Total Value
$117
Combined PnL
-$120.77
Smart Money Signal
Up
2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$117
Total Shares117
Combined PnL+$45.63
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares367
Combined PnL-$166.4
Down — 60%Up — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BO bosona<$100 | Downavg 61¢ | $24.4 | $40 | +$15.6 | 51% 4683-4502 (9185) |
AL almach<$100 | Downavg 61¢ | $24.4 | $40 | +$15.6 | 51% 1438-1373 (2811) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Downavg 61¢ | $22.57 | $37 | +$14.43 | 51% 1429-1393 (2822) |
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 5¢ | $2.7 | — | +$1.7 | 49% 1554-1593 (3147) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR | Upavg 45.8¢ | $168.15 | — | -$168.1 | 48% 68-74 (142) |
BO
bosona<$100Invested
$24.4
Value
$40
PnL
+$15.6
Record
51%
4683-4502 (9185)
AL
almach<$100Invested
$24.4
Value
$40
PnL
+$15.6
Record
51%
1438-1373 (2811)
MO
mo-money<$100Invested
$22.57
Value
$37
PnL
+$14.43
Record
51%
1429-1393 (2822)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$2.7
Value
—
PnL
+$1.7
Record
49%
1554-1593 (3147)
0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTRInvested
$168.15
Value
—
PnL
-$168.1
Record
48%
68-74 (142)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x265f763f...c75bbe
Slug
dogecoin-up-or-down-november-14-2026-4pm-et